Serie A 2024-2025: Verona vs Como Prediction

Verona

Home Team
16%
VS

Como

Away Team
70%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 36 23 9 4 57 27 30 78
2 Inter 36 23 8 5 75 33 42 77
3 Atalanta 36 21 8 7 73 32 41 71
4 Juventus 36 16 16 4 53 33 20 64
5 Lazio 36 18 10 8 59 46 13 64
6 Roma 36 18 9 9 51 34 17 63
7 Bologna 36 16 14 6 54 41 13 62
8 Milan 36 17 9 10 58 40 18 60
9 Fiorentina 36 17 8 11 54 37 17 59
10 Como 36 13 9 14 48 49 -1 48
11 Torino 36 10 14 12 39 42 -3 44
12 Udinese 36 12 8 16 39 51 -12 44
13 Genoa 36 9 13 14 32 45 -13 40
14 Cagliari 36 8 9 19 37 54 -17 33
15 Verona 36 9 6 21 31 64 -33 33
16 Parma 36 6 14 16 41 56 -15 32
17 Venezia 36 5 14 17 30 50 -20 29
18 Lecce 36 6 10 20 25 58 -33 28
19 Empoli 36 5 13 18 29 56 -27 28
20 Monza 36 3 9 24 27 64 -37 18

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Verona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.76
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.02
# Clean Sheets: 1

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.56
# Clean Sheets: 4

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Verona and Como is predicted to favor the away team, with a 70.0% probability of Como securing a win. Verona's chances of victory stand at a mere 16.0%. The game is expected to have under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Como sits at 10th place in the Serie A standings, while Verona struggles at 15th.

Match Analysis

Verona's recent form has been less than ideal, reflecting their precarious position in the league. Their last three matches resulted in a draw and two losses, with only one goal scored across these fixtures. Their inability to find the back of the net is reflected in their average of 0.4 goals scored per game in the last five outings. Defensively, Verona has conceded an average of 1.0 goals per game, indicating vulnerabilities at the back. In contrast, Como has displayed a more promising form, winning their last three encounters. They have shown resilience and effectiveness, particularly in defense, with four clean sheets in their last five matches. Offensively, Como has an average of 1.8 goals scored per game in their recent form, showing a sharp contrast to Verona's struggles. Their expected goals metric of 1.582 further underscores their offensive capabilities.

Final Prediction

Como's recent performances and superior goal-scoring form give them a clear edge in this matchup. Their defensive solidity, highlighted by multiple clean sheets, will be a significant factor against a struggling Verona side. A key factor to watch will be whether Como can maintain their attacking efficiency and capitalize on Verona's defensive frailties to secure a crucial away victory.