Como
Serie A · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #3 of 20 60.4 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #4 of 20 in Serie A 71 pts · 20W–11D–7L · GD +36
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Como?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Como's results were 7.6% easier to call than the Serie A average. How this is measured.
| Market | Como | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 62.5% | 52.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 65.6% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 50.0% | 50.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie A | #3 | 1520 | 1647 | 1626 |
| 2024-25 | Serie A | #9 | 1478 | 1564 | 1537 |
| 2023-24 | Serie B | #1 | 1503 | 1671 | 1657 |
| 2022-23 | Serie B | #9 | 1474 | 1558 | 1527 |
| 2021-22 | Serie B | #15 | 1506 | 1560 | 1469 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | vs Parma | W Como 80.0% · draw 11.1% | W ✓ |
| May 10, 2026 | at Verona | W Como 60.6% · draw 19.0% | W ✓ |
| May 02, 2026 | vs Napoli | W Como 45.8% · draw 23.4% | D ✗ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | at Genoa | W Como 54.5% · draw 21.3% | W ✓ |
| Apr 17, 2026 | at Sassuolo | W Como 58.7% · draw 19.7% | L ✗ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs Inter | L Como 34.5% · draw 23.6% | L ✓ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | at Udinese | W Como 59.9% · draw 19.2% | D ✗ |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs Pisa | W Como 84.1% · draw 9.0% | W ✓ |
| Mar 15, 2026 | vs Roma | W Como 49.9% · draw 21.2% | W ✓ |
| Mar 07, 2026 | at Cagliari | W Como 60.5% · draw 19.0% | W ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/como">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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