Verona
Serie A · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #19 of 20 in Serie A 21 pts · 3W–12D–23L · GD -36
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Verona?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Verona's results were 9.4% harder to call than the Serie A average. How this is measured.
| Market | Verona | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 46.9% | 52.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 34.4% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 56.2% | 50.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie A | #19 | 1502 | 1502 | 1312 |
| 2024-25 | Serie A | #14 | 1522 | 1524 | 1423 |
| 2023-24 | Serie A | #14 | 1529 | 1545 | 1438 |
| 2022-23 | Serie A | #18 | 1466 | 1468 | 1391 |
| 2021-22 | Serie A | #8 | 1471 | 1555 | 1508 |
| 2020-21 | Serie A | #17 | 1498 | 1554 | 1394 |
| 2019-20 | Serie A | #16 | 1498 | 1558 | 1434 |
| 2018-19 | Serie B | #13 | 1498 | 1585 | 1480 |
| 2017-18 | Serie A | #20 | 1467 | 1469 | 1266 |
| 2015-16 | Serie A | #18 | 1498 | 1498 | 1393 |
| 2014-15 | Serie A | #13 | 1502 | 1545 | 1490 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | at Inter | L Verona 4.5% · draw 6.4% | D ✗ |
| May 10, 2026 | vs Como | L Verona 20.4% · draw 19.0% | L ✓ |
| May 03, 2026 | at Juventus | L Verona 7.7% · draw 9.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Lecce | W Verona 52.8% · draw 23.0% | D ✗ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | vs Milan | L Verona 24.3% · draw 21.4% | L ✓ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Torino | L Verona 23.2% · draw 22.4% | L ✓ |
| Apr 04, 2026 | vs Fiorentina | L Verona 31.4% · draw 25.3% | L ✓ |
| Mar 22, 2026 | at Atalanta | L Verona 12.6% · draw 14.3% | L ✓ |
| Mar 15, 2026 | vs Genoa | W Verona 43.6% · draw 26.3% | L ✗ |
| Mar 08, 2026 | at Bologna | L Verona 16.3% · draw 17.4% | W ✗ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/verona">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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