League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
December 26, 2025
Bolton vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 66.8% (Bolton)
Draw: 20.3%
Away Win: 12.8% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.5%
No Goal: 55.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Bradford vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.8% (Bradford)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 29.1% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Burton vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.7% (Burton)
Draw: 32.1%
Away Win: 32.2% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Blackpool vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.2% (Blackpool)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 33.6% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.4%
No Goal: 47.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
Huddersfield vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 57.8% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 23.0%
Away Win: 19.2% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.2%
Under: 47.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
Peterboro vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.6% (Peterboro)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 32.0% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.5%
Under: 45.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.4%
No Goal: 45.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
Luton vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.1% (Luton)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 25.9% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.2%
Under: 55.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.3%
No Goal: 52.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
Plymouth vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.5% (Plymouth)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 32.4% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.6%
Under: 52.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.8%
No Goal: 51.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Stockport vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.4% (Stockport)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 27.5% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.6%
Under: 56.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Wycombe vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.3% (Wycombe)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 38.1% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.7%
Under: 52.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Rotherham vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.7% (Rotherham)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 37.5% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.1%
Under: 47.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.1%
No Goal: 45.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Port Vale vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.8% (Port Vale)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 28.8% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 20, 2025
Mansfield vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.6% (Mansfield)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 40.5% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.6%
No Goal: 50.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Lincoln vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.6% (Lincoln)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 35.3% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.1%
No Goal: 45.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Leyton Orient vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 31.2% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.8%
No Goal: 52.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Exeter vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.4% (Exeter)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 34.2% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 20, 2025
Doncaster vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.8% (Doncaster)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 25.2% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.7%
Under: 54.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.0%
No Goal: 55.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Wigan vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.6% (Wigan)
Draw: 28.1%
Away Win: 20.3% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.6%
No Goal: 51.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 20, 2025
Stevenage vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.8% (Stevenage)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 21.0% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.5%
Under: 57.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 41.9%
No Goal: 58.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 19, 2025
Northampton vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.9% (Northampton)
Draw: 32.2%
Away Win: 33.0% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.0%
Under: 57.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 18, 2025
Reading vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.1% (Reading)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 37.8% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.0%
Under: 57.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Bolton vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 77.1% (Bolton)
Draw: 15.8%
Away Win: 7.1% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.9%
Under: 51.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.9%
No Goal: 56.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Plymouth vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.4% (Plymouth)
Draw: 31.8%
Away Win: 32.8% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Peterboro vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.2% (Peterboro)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 31.1% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.0%
Under: 58.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.7%
No Goal: 56.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Luton vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 59.3% (Luton)
Draw: 23.0%
Away Win: 17.7% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.2%
Under: 52.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.2%
No Goal: 56.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Cardiff vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 64.4% (Cardiff)
Draw: 20.4%
Away Win: 15.2% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.9%
Under: 44.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Burton vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.6% (Burton)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 44.2% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.1%
Under: 56.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Bradford vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.3% (Bradford)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 22.9% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.0%
Under: 50.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.7%
No Goal: 47.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Stockport vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.4% (Stockport)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 22.9% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.3%
No Goal: 54.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Blackpool vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.8% (Blackpool)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 39.0% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.5%
Under: 56.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.7%
No Goal: 48.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal