League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
January 24, 2026
Blackpool vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.2% (Blackpool)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 27.7% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.9%
Under: 58.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.8%
No Goal: 56.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 24, 2026
Bolton vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 62.8% (Bolton)
Draw: 22.2%
Away Win: 15.0% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.7%
Under: 46.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Rotherham vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.9% (Rotherham)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 34.6% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.9%
No Goal: 52.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Port Vale vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.6% (Port Vale)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 28.7% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.9%
No Goal: 56.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Reading vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.3% (Reading)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 31.1% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Stevenage vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.9% (Stevenage)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 26.0% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 38.7%
Under: 61.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.4%
No Goal: 52.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Wycombe vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.0% (Wycombe)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 22.9% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 22, 2026
Lincoln vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 59.0% (Lincoln)
Draw: 23.5%
Away Win: 17.5% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.8%
No Goal: 51.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 20, 2026
Stevenage vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.1% (Stevenage)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 40.5% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 39.8%
Under: 60.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.9%
No Goal: 52.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Bradford vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.4% (Bradford)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 33.0% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.0%
Under: 57.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 17, 2026
Wigan vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.0% (Wigan)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 41.7% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.4%
Under: 55.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.7% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 32.1% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.7%
Under: 54.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Barnsley vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.7% (Barnsley)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 27.3% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.1%
Under: 56.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.1%
No Goal: 50.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 17, 2026
Burton vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.0% (Burton)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 43.7% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.2%
Under: 49.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 17, 2026
Exeter vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.2% (Exeter)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 32.0% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.1%
No Goal: 51.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Leyton Orient vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.9% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 33.1% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.0%
Under: 50.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 17, 2026
Luton vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.1% (Luton)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 24.4% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.4%
Under: 58.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 17, 2026
Mansfield vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.1% (Mansfield)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 33.8% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.2%
Under: 55.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.1%
No Goal: 54.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Northampton vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.8% (Northampton)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 39.1% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 39.9%
Under: 60.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.1%
No Goal: 53.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 17, 2026
Peterboro vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.2% (Peterboro)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 25.9% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.9%
Under: 50.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Stockport vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 68.1% (Stockport)
Draw: 19.2%
Away Win: 12.7% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.7%
Under: 52.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 10, 2026
Peterboro vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.8% (Peterboro)
Draw: 28.5%
Away Win: 43.6% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.9%
Under: 56.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.2%
No Goal: 48.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 10, 2026
Leyton Orient vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.8% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 27.6%
Away Win: 45.5% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.6%
No Goal: 47.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 10, 2026
Stockport vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.3% (Stockport)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 34.7% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.5%
No Goal: 45.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 10, 2026
Luton vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.3% (Luton)
Draw: 27.2%
Away Win: 19.6% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.2%
Under: 57.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.1%
No Goal: 55.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 04, 2026
Huddersfield vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 73.0% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 18.0%
Away Win: 9.0% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.6%
Under: 53.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.6%
No Goal: 56.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 04, 2026
Blackpool vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.7% (Blackpool)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 40.3% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.2%
Under: 59.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 04, 2026
Cardiff vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 59.5% (Cardiff)
Draw: 23.5%
Away Win: 16.9% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.1%
Under: 49.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 04, 2026
Bolton vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 76.7% (Bolton)
Draw: 15.7%
Away Win: 7.6% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.4%
Under: 45.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.6%
No Goal: 50.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 04, 2026
Plymouth vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.6% (Plymouth)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 30.9% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.4%
Under: 51.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal