League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
January 04, 2026
Reading vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.2% (Reading)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 36.1% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 04, 2026
Wycombe vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.4% (Wycombe)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 23.8% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.7%
No Goal: 53.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 04, 2026
Lincoln vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.1% (Lincoln)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 26.9% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.2%
Under: 57.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 01, 2026
Wigan vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.2% (Wigan)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 28.1% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.2%
Under: 52.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 01, 2026
Wycombe vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.8% (Wycombe)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 38.8% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 01, 2026
Stevenage vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.5% (Stevenage)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 20.3% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.7%
Under: 57.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.6%
No Goal: 54.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 01, 2026
Rotherham vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.8% (Rotherham)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 35.4% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.3%
Under: 57.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Reading vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.7% (Reading)
Draw: 31.8%
Away Win: 27.5% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Port Vale vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (Port Vale)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 32.5% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.4%
No Goal: 51.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 01, 2026
Northampton vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.7% (Northampton)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 42.5% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Mansfield vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.4% (Mansfield)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 43.6% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.0%
Under: 57.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.3%
No Goal: 50.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Lincoln vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.8% (Lincoln)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 33.6% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.6%
Under: 53.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 01, 2026
Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.2% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 29.7% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.6%
No Goal: 52.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 01, 2026
Exeter vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.7% (Exeter)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 45.5% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.7%
Under: 59.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Doncaster vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 23.8% (Doncaster)
Draw: 25.3%
Away Win: 51.0% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
Burton vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.0% (Burton)
Draw: 31.9%
Away Win: 33.2% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.9%
No Goal: 53.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.7% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 25.6% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.8%
Under: 57.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.2%
No Goal: 55.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Barnsley vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.4% (Barnsley)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 31.7% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.4%
Under: 55.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Blackpool vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.2% (Blackpool)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 26.2% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Bolton vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 77.2% (Bolton)
Draw: 15.7%
Away Win: 7.1% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.7%
Under: 48.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Bradford vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 63.4% (Bradford)
Draw: 20.9%
Away Win: 15.7% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Luton vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 59.8% (Luton)
Draw: 23.2%
Away Win: 17.0% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.3%
Under: 48.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Cardiff vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.7% (Cardiff)
Draw: 26.1%
Away Win: 19.2% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.3%
No Goal: 48.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
Huddersfield vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 65.6% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 20.3%
Away Win: 14.1% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Peterboro vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.2% (Peterboro)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 29.5% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.6%
No Goal: 48.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
Plymouth vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.0% (Plymouth)
Draw: 29.6%
Away Win: 39.4% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.6%
Under: 56.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.6%
No Goal: 52.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
Stockport vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.6% (Stockport)
Draw: 26.6%
Away Win: 22.9% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.1%
Under: 52.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Cardiff vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 73.2% (Cardiff)
Draw: 16.9%
Away Win: 9.9% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.8%
No Goal: 51.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.9% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 34.7% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.5%
Under: 57.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.2%
No Goal: 54.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
Barnsley vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.3% (Barnsley)
Draw: 28.5%
Away Win: 27.2% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.8%
Under: 51.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.8%
No Goal: 52.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal