League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
October 28, 2025
Mansfield vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.9% (Mansfield)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 25.9% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.2%
Under: 52.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.6%
No Goal: 51.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 27, 2025
Port Vale vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.2% (Port Vale)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 30.5% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.6%
Under: 59.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.9%
No Goal: 53.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Wycombe vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.1% (Wycombe)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 26.6% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Stevenage vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.4% (Stevenage)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 28.7% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.0%
No Goal: 47.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Reading vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.2% (Reading)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 29.7% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.6%
Under: 52.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Peterboro vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.0% (Peterboro)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 33.3% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.0%
Under: 60.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 42.0%
No Goal: 58.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Northampton vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.8% (Northampton)
Draw: 28.3%
Away Win: 43.9% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 39.1%
Under: 60.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Leyton Orient vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.9% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 32.8% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Barnsley vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.4% (Barnsley)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 26.4% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.8%
Under: 53.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.2%
No Goal: 53.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
AFC Wimbledon vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.9% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 23.0% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.2%
Under: 56.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.3%
No Goal: 54.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Mansfield vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.6% (Mansfield)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 32.1% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.1%
No Goal: 53.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Bolton vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.6% (Bolton)
Draw: 28.4%
Away Win: 23.9% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.1%
Under: 52.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.5%
No Goal: 45.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 23, 2025
Exeter vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.1% (Exeter)
Draw: 32.0%
Away Win: 30.9% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 21, 2025
Reading vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.3% (Reading)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 29.1% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Blackpool vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.5% (Blackpool)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 37.3% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 37.8%
Under: 62.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.1%
No Goal: 54.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Lincoln vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.5% (Lincoln)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 32.0% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.7%
Under: 57.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.3%
No Goal: 48.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Burton vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.2% (Burton)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 29.9% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.6%
Under: 52.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Doncaster vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.3% (Doncaster)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 24.4% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.4%
No Goal: 54.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Bradford vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.4% (Bradford)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 28.4% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.1%
Under: 52.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.9%
No Goal: 48.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Cardiff vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 61.5% (Cardiff)
Draw: 23.2%
Away Win: 15.3% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.6%
Under: 48.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Luton vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 57.1% (Luton)
Draw: 24.5%
Away Win: 18.4% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.9%
Under: 52.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Plymouth)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 31.0% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.8%
No Goal: 52.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Rotherham vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.9% (Rotherham)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 31.8% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.6%
Under: 49.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Stockport vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 68.9% (Stockport)
Draw: 19.8%
Away Win: 11.3% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.8%
No Goal: 56.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 18, 2025
Wigan vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.7% (Wigan)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 34.1% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.3%
Under: 56.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 16, 2025
Huddersfield vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.2% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 35.4% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 11, 2025
Exeter vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (Exeter)
Draw: 32.0%
Away Win: 32.2% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 11, 2025
Northampton vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.1% (Northampton)
Draw: 32.5%
Away Win: 31.4% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.7%
Under: 56.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.5%
No Goal: 55.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 11, 2025
AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.0% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 35.9% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 36.7%
Under: 63.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.1%
No Goal: 55.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 11, 2025
Burton vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 22.0% (Burton)
Draw: 24.8%
Away Win: 53.2% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.4%
No Goal: 47.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal