League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
September 20, 2025
Plymouth vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.8% (Plymouth)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 30.8% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Blackpool vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.4% (Blackpool)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 37.6% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.0%
Under: 58.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Cardiff vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.3% (Cardiff)
Draw: 26.8%
Away Win: 18.9% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
Doncaster vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.1% (Doncaster)
Draw: 28.3%
Away Win: 20.7% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.1%
No Goal: 52.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
Huddersfield vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 68.1% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 19.1%
Away Win: 12.8% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.9%
Under: 48.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.5%
No Goal: 53.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Lincoln vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.4% (Lincoln)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 42.4% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.9%
No Goal: 46.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
Port Vale vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.2% (Port Vale)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 30.1% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.1%
Under: 51.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.4%
No Goal: 52.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
Rotherham vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.8% (Rotherham)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 37.2% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Stevenage vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.3% (Stevenage)
Draw: 25.9%
Away Win: 19.7% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.8%
Under: 59.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 39.9%
No Goal: 60.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
Wycombe vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.2% (Wycombe)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 23.7% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.1%
Under: 51.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.3%
No Goal: 55.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Reading vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.8% (Reading)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 31.7% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 13, 2025
Leyton Orient vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.4% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 40.1% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.9%
Under: 58.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.1%
No Goal: 50.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 13, 2025
Northampton vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.1% (Northampton)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 22.5% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.1%
Under: 56.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.8%
No Goal: 55.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 13, 2025
AFC Wimbledon vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 32.7% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.2%
Under: 56.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.1%
No Goal: 55.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 13, 2025
Barnsley vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 57.0% (Barnsley)
Draw: 24.7%
Away Win: 18.3% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.2%
Under: 52.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.5%
No Goal: 53.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 13, 2025
Burton vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.8% (Burton)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 32.0% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 13, 2025
Exeter vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.6% (Exeter)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 34.4% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.7%
Under: 58.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.4%
No Goal: 55.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 13, 2025
Mansfield vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.4% (Mansfield)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 27.2% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.1%
Under: 57.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.6%
No Goal: 54.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 13, 2025
Luton vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 72.0% (Luton)
Draw: 18.6%
Away Win: 9.4% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.1%
Under: 47.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.3%
No Goal: 50.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 13, 2025
Peterboro vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.2% (Peterboro)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 41.0% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 13, 2025
Stockport vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.7% (Stockport)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 31.4% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.1%
Under: 56.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 13, 2025
Wigan vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.0% (Wigan)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 31.1% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.8%
Under: 53.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 13, 2025
Bradford vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.1% (Bradford)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 36.0% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.1%
No Goal: 44.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 06, 2025
Doncaster vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.8% (Doncaster)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 28.2% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.4%
Under: 55.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 06, 2025
Plymouth vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.3% (Plymouth)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 39.5% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 06, 2025
Bolton vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 66.4% (Bolton)
Draw: 21.9%
Away Win: 11.6% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.4%
No Goal: 54.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 06, 2025
Huddersfield vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 71.6% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 17.7%
Away Win: 10.7% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.3%
Under: 47.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.5%
No Goal: 54.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 06, 2025
Lincoln vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.6% (Lincoln)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 30.6% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.0%
Under: 54.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.5%
No Goal: 52.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 06, 2025
Rotherham vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.4% (Rotherham)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 29.8% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.3%
No Goal: 52.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 06, 2025
Wycombe vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.5% (Wycombe)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 30.9% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal