League One 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.3%
Final Result Accuracy
53.2%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
54.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.3%
Double Chance Accuracy
October 11, 2025
Leyton Orient vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.0% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 29.6%
Away Win: 35.4% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.1%
Under: 52.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 11, 2025
Stockport vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.2% (Stockport)
Draw: 25.6%
Away Win: 20.1% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.4%
Under: 55.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.7%
No Goal: 53.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 11, 2025
Wigan vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.3% (Wigan)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 35.8% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.4%
Under: 51.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.4%
No Goal: 47.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 04, 2025
Huddersfield vs Stockport
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.7% (Huddersfield)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 27.3% (Stockport)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Doncaster vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 63.7% (Doncaster)
Draw: 22.6%
Away Win: 13.7% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.6%
Under: 51.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.7%
No Goal: 56.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Wycombe vs Barnsley
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.5% (Wycombe)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 26.1% (Barnsley)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.8%
Under: 50.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.1% (Blackpool)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 25.3% (AFC Wimbledon)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.1%
Under: 58.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.0%
No Goal: 56.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 04, 2025
Bolton vs Peterboro
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 79.7% (Bolton)
Draw: 14.2%
Away Win: 6.1% (Peterboro)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.9%
Under: 50.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.7%
No Goal: 54.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Cardiff vs Leyton Orient
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 68.4% (Cardiff)
Draw: 19.5%
Away Win: 12.1% (Leyton Orient)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.3%
Under: 51.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Port Vale vs Northampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.3% (Port Vale)
Draw: 25.5%
Away Win: 16.1% (Northampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.6%
No Goal: 56.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 04, 2025
Lincoln vs Exeter
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.3% (Lincoln)
Draw: 27.3%
Away Win: 21.4% (Exeter)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.8%
No Goal: 55.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 04, 2025
Plymouth vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.6% (Plymouth)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 36.0% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Reading vs Mansfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.8% (Reading)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 33.9% (Mansfield)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Stevenage vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.6% (Stevenage)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 34.3% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.4%
Under: 57.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 02, 2025
Rotherham vs Bradford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.7% (Rotherham)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 36.7% (Bradford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.1%
No Goal: 50.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 30, 2025
Cardiff vs Burton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 70.7% (Cardiff)
Draw: 17.8%
Away Win: 11.6% (Burton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.9%
Under: 52.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 30, 2025
Blackpool vs Luton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.8% (Blackpool)
Draw: 27.3%
Away Win: 44.8% (Luton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 39.8%
Under: 60.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.6%
No Goal: 51.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Exeter vs Huddersfield
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.9% (Exeter)
Draw: 28.4%
Away Win: 41.7% (Huddersfield)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.7% (AFC Wimbledon)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 36.5% (Wycombe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.0% (Leyton Orient)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 32.5% (Stevenage)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.1%
No Goal: 50.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Barnsley vs Port Vale
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.5% (Barnsley)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 29.5% (Port Vale)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.0%
Under: 59.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Bradford vs Blackpool
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.5% (Bradford)
Draw: 28.1%
Away Win: 24.4% (Blackpool)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.4%
Under: 51.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Burton vs Plymouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.6% (Burton)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 24.6% (Plymouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.4%
No Goal: 45.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Luton vs Doncaster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.1% (Luton)
Draw: 26.0%
Away Win: 20.0% (Doncaster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.8%
Under: 51.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.4%
No Goal: 51.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Northampton vs Bolton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.1% (Northampton)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 45.0% (Bolton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 39.9%
Under: 60.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.4%
No Goal: 53.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Peterboro vs Lincoln
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.6% (Peterboro)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 35.1% (Lincoln)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.6%
No Goal: 53.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Stockport vs Reading
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 61.9% (Stockport)
Draw: 23.2%
Away Win: 14.9% (Reading)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.6%
Under: 46.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Wigan vs Cardiff
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.1% (Wigan)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 32.6% (Cardiff)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.1%
No Goal: 47.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Mansfield vs Rotherham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.0% (Mansfield)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 28.7% (Rotherham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.5%
Under: 55.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.6%
No Goal: 56.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
Bolton vs Wigan
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 63.4% (Bolton)
Draw: 22.8%
Away Win: 13.8% (Wigan)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.1%
Under: 46.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.9%
No Goal: 48.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal