Los Angeles Clippers vs Toronto Raptors Prediction
NBA 2026-2027 · 2026-11-02
Los Angeles Clippers
Home Team
21.3%
VS
Toronto Raptors
Away Team
78.7%
Why the Model Favors Toronto Raptors
The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.
Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 79% for Toronto Raptors. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →
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Set it upPlayer Projections
AI-powered statistical projections for tonight's starters. Click a player to view their full probability distributions.
HOME Los Angeles Clippers
Darius Garland
PTS
21.6
REB
2.8
AST
5.9
3PM
2.6
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
Derrick Jones Jr.
PTS
11.6
REB
5.4
AST
1.7
3PM
2.0
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
Isaiah Jackson
PTS
9.0
REB
7.1
AST
2.5
3PM
0.0
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
Kris Dunn
PTS
9.9
REB
5.0
AST
4.7
3PM
1.4
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
Rui Hachimura
PTS
15.8
REB
5.8
AST
1.6
3PM
2.3
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
AWAY Toronto Raptors
Jakob Poeltl
PTS
7.1
REB
6.9
AST
1.5
3PM
0.0
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
Immanuel Quickley
PTS
16.6
REB
4.4
AST
4.8
3PM
2.4
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
Ja'Kobe Walter
PTS
12.2
REB
5.1
AST
2.3
3PM
2.2
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
RJ Barrett
PTS
19.1
REB
7.0
AST
3.8
3PM
1.5
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
Scottie Barnes
PTS
24.0
REB
7.9
AST
4.7
3PM
1.1
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
Starting Five Matchup
PG
Darius Garland
OR
99.7
DR
121.5
PTS
20.8
VS
Jakob Poeltl
OR
92.0
DR
106.4
PTS
4.6
SG
Derrick Jones Jr.
OR
129.3
DR
116.5
PTS
11.5
VS
Immanuel Quickley
OR
125.2
DR
113.5
PTS
16.5
SF
Isaiah Jackson
OR
107.7
DR
108.8
PTS
8.0
VS
Ja'Kobe Walter
OR
136.3
DR
108.5
PTS
12.2
PF
Kris Dunn
OR
123.8
DR
109.5
PTS
8.5
VS
RJ Barrett
OR
116.3
DR
112.8
PTS
19.8
C
Rui Hachimura
OR
85.0
DR
117.4
PTS
13.4
VS
Scottie Barnes
OR
99.2
DR
106.7
PTS
24.8
OR = Offensive Rating ·
DR = Defensive Rating (lower is better) ·
PTS = Avg Points Per Game
Key Prediction Insights
Toronto is the model’s clear choice, with a 79 percent chance to win. The expected starters are Darius Garland, Derrick Jones Jr., Isaiah Jackson, Kris Dunn and Rui Hachimura for the Clippers, and Jakob Poeltl, Immanuel Quickley, Ja'Kobe Walter, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes for Toronto.
Total Points and Spread Analysis
The projected total is 230 points, with Toronto favored by about one. That points to a close game with a fairly high scoring total, rather than a comfortable win for either side.
Total Points Predictions
Expected Total Points in Game
229.6
Most likely outcome: 229 points
Total Points Probability Distribution
Distribution
Probability of each total points outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of total points ≤ X
Spread Predictions
Expected Spread (Los Angeles Clippers - Toronto Raptors)
-1.0
Most likely outcome: -1 points
Spread Probability Distribution
Distribution
Probability of each spread outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of spread ≤ X
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Download Probability Data
Full distributions as structured data (JSON or CSV)
ELO Rating Trends
Both teams’ ratings are falling over the last five games, with a sharper decline for the Clippers than for Toronto.
Los Angeles Clippers
1462.1
-39.3 over 5 games
| Date | Opponent | ELO | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Golden State Warriors | 1462.1 | -8.8 |
| 2026-10-30 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 1470.9 | -10.2 |
| 2026-10-28 | Los Angeles Lakers | 1481.1 | -11.6 |
| 2026-10-25 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 1492.7 | -8.7 |
| 2026-10-23 | Los Angeles Lakers | 1501.4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
1502.7
-21.5 over 5 games
| Date | Opponent | ELO | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Los Angeles Lakers | 1502.7 | -9.2 |
| 2026-10-30 | Orlando Magic | 1511.9 | -11.9 |
| 2026-10-28 | Orlando Magic | 1523.8 | +10.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 1512.9 | -11.3 |
| 2026-10-23 | Washington Wizards | 1524.2 | - |
NBA ELO Power Rankings
Curious how these teams stack up league-wide? Check the full ELO standings, progression charts, and conference breakdowns.
View Full ELO StandingsRecent Form: Last 5 Games
Los Angeles Clippers
0-5 in last 5
L
L
L
L
L
| Opponent | PF | PA | Diff | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | 112 | 124 | -12 | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 101 | 127 | -26 | |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 87 | 103 | -16 | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 101 | 108 | -7 | |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 117 | 125 | -8 |
Toronto Raptors
2-3 in last 5
L
L
W
L
W
| Opponent | PF | PA | Diff | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | 125 | 131 | -6 | |
| Orlando Magic | 114 | 121 | -7 | |
| Orlando Magic | 129 | 99 | +30 | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 94 | 117 | -23 | |
| Washington Wizards | 112 | 102 | +10 |
Game Analysis
Toronto’s starting group is the clearest separation in the forecast. Barnes leads the Raptors’ projected scorers at 25 points per game, and Quickley and Barrett add scoring options around him. Garland is the Clippers’ top projected scorer at 21, but the rest of their expected starters offer less scoring support.
Home court does help the Clippers, but recent form gives Toronto a stronger case: the Raptors have dropped two straight, while the Clippers have lost three in a row and their power rating has slid more sharply. Toronto’s recent losses were competitive, while the Clippers’ last two defeats came by double digits.
Final Prediction
Garland’s scoring is the most direct way for the Clippers to upset the forecast. If he can keep pace with Toronto’s leading scorers, home court could make the narrow projected margin matter.
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