Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction

NBA 2026-2027 · 2026-11-10

Phoenix Suns

Home Team
59.8%
VS

Los Angeles Clippers

Away Team
40.2%
2026-2027 Season

Why the Model Favors Phoenix Suns

The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.

Home-court advantage +7.6 Phoenix Suns
Starting five +4.3 Phoenix Suns
Rest & schedule +2.1 Los Angeles Clippers
Recent team form +1.3 Los Angeles Clippers
Season record & ratings +0.7 Phoenix Suns

Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 60% for Phoenix Suns. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

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Player Projections

AI-powered statistical projections for tonight's starters. Click a player to view their full probability distributions.

HOME Phoenix Suns
PTS 24.4 REB 4.2 AST 4.1 3PM 2.2
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 15.3 REB 5.3 AST 2.0 3PM 1.7
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Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 14.3 REB 4.8 AST 3.5 3PM 1.0
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 15.6 REB 8.6 AST 2.8 3PM 1.9
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 8.4 REB 7.1 AST 3.0 3PM 0.0
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
AWAY Los Angeles Clippers
PTS 15.0 REB 6.9 AST 1.6 3PM 1.2
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 21.5 REB 3.0 AST 6.4 3PM 2.2
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 11.2 REB 6.0 AST 1.6 3PM 1.3
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 10.2 REB 5.5 AST 3.7 3PM 0.9
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 16.5 REB 6.5 AST 2.1 3PM 1.9
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
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Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
View All Player Projections

Starting Five Matchup

PG
Devin Booker
OR
121.4
DR
124.8
PTS
26.0
VS
Brook Lopez
OR
118.8
DR
115.8
PTS
14.2
SG
Dillon Brooks
OR
108.7
DR
124.3
PTS
15.7
VS
Darius Garland
OR
106.3
DR
122.2
PTS
21.2
SF
Jalen Green
OR
87.8
DR
124.1
PTS
11.7
VS
Derrick Jones Jr.
OR
126.5
DR
116.8
PTS
11.1
PF
Miles Bridges
OR
122.0
DR
117.6
PTS
15.8
VS
Kris Dunn
OR
122.9
DR
111.7
PTS
9.1
C
Oso Ighodaro
OR
108.0
DR
124.1
PTS
6.6
VS
Rui Hachimura
OR
94.0
DR
116.9
PTS
14.6
OR = Offensive Rating · DR = Defensive Rating (lower is better) · PTS = Avg Points Per Game

Key Prediction Insights

Phoenix is favored with a 60% chance to win, a modest lean rather than a decisive call. The expected Phoenix starters are Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks, Jalen Green, Miles Bridges and Oso Ighodaro, while Los Angeles is projected to start Brook Lopez, Darius Garland, Derrick Jones Jr., Kris Dunn and Rui Hachimura. Home court and the projected starting groups are the clearest reasons for the Suns’ advantage.

Total Points and Spread Analysis

The projected total is 229 points, with Phoenix favored by 6, pointing to a fairly productive game that should remain competitive. The estimate leaves room for both teams to score, without suggesting a runaway.

🏀 Total Points Predictions

🏀
Expected Total Points in Game 229.4 Most likely outcome: 229 points
📊 Total Points Probability Distribution
Distribution

Probability of each total points outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total points ≤ X

📈 Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Spread (Phoenix Suns - Los Angeles Clippers) 5.5 Most likely outcome: 5 points
📊 Spread Probability Distribution
Distribution

Probability of each spread outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

ELO Rating Trends

Phoenix’s rating has risen 3.1 points over five games, while the Clippers’ has fallen 17.1, leaving the Suns trending up and Los Angeles down.

Phoenix Suns

1470.5 +3.1 over 5 games
Date Opponent ELO Change
2026-11-09 San Antonio Spurs 1470.5 -10.0
2026-11-07 Houston Rockets 1480.5 +11.3
2026-11-05 Orlando Magic 1469.2 +11.0
2026-11-04 Portland Trail Blazers 1458.2 -9.2
2026-11-02 Golden State Warriors 1467.4 -

Los Angeles Clippers

1453.8 -17.1 over 5 games
Date Opponent ELO Change
2026-11-08 New Orleans Pelicans 1453.8 +11.6
2026-11-04 Miami Heat 1442.2 -10.0
2026-11-02 Toronto Raptors 1452.2 -9.9
2026-11-01 Golden State Warriors 1462.1 -8.8
2026-10-30 Minnesota Timberwolves 1470.9 -

NBA ELO Power Rankings

Curious how these teams stack up league-wide? Check the full ELO standings, progression charts, and conference breakdowns.

View Full ELO Standings

Recent Form: Last 5 Games

Phoenix Suns

2-3 in last 5
L W W L L
Opponent PF PA Diff
San Antonio Spurs 96 122 -26
Houston Rockets 102 99 +3
Orlando Magic 117 104 +13
Portland Trail Blazers 119 132 -13
Golden State Warriors 113 116 -3

Los Angeles Clippers

1-4 in last 5
W L L L L
Opponent PF PA Diff
New Orleans Pelicans 139 123 +16
Miami Heat 116 117 -1
Toronto Raptors 118 125 -7
Golden State Warriors 112 124 -12
Minnesota Timberwolves 101 127 -26

Game Analysis

Phoenix’s strongest case is its home floor, reinforced by a projected starting five that the model favors. Booker leads the listed scoring averages at 26 points per game, and Bridges’ numbers show a more balanced two-way profile than most of Phoenix’s starters. The Clippers have some counterweight: their recent form and schedule favor them, and they are coming off a 139-point win over New Orleans. Garland gives them another strong scoring option at 21 points per game, while Phoenix’s heavy loss to San Antonio shows its offense can stall.

Final Prediction

If Garland’s scoring carries over and the Clippers can take advantage of Phoenix’s vulnerable defensive profiles, Los Angeles has a clear path to overturning the forecast.

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