Tomas MacHac

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1653 · #67 Hard #84 Clay #44 Grass #58 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

109-73 59.9% in 182 matches

Clay 23-19
Grass 9-6
Hard 77-48

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 27 14-13 1636 1778 1653
2025 37 20-17 1680 1818 1672
2024 54 34-20 1572 1954 1876
2023 32 19-13 1558 1699 1681
2022 18 13-5 1548 1749 1717
2021 10 6-4 1533 1692 1556
2020 4 3-1 1511 1628 1592

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Toby Samuel L 0-3
Aug 23, 2026 Winston Salem · Hard Mees Rottgering L 0-2
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Pablo Carreno Busta L 0-2
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Alexander Zverev L 0-3
Zizou Bergs W 3-0
May 06, 2026 Rome · Clay Stefanos Tsitsipas W 2-0
Apr 22, 2026 Madrid · Clay Cameron Norrie L 1-2
Francisco Comesana W 2-1
Apr 13, 2026 Barcelona · Clay Andrey Rublev L 0-2
Sebastian Baez W 2-1

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Tomas MacHac?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.4 actual vs 5.9 projected
2.77 our average miss per match
3.41 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+19% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 32 of the 37 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Tomas MacHac follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 27 14-13 59.3% 11 vs 9.9 exp On serve
2025 37 20-17 64.9% 13 vs 13.6 exp On serve
2024 bt 49 30-19 57.1% 21 vs 16.8 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Tomas MacHac's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/tomas-machac">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)