Hugo Gaston

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1622 · #85 Hard #95 Clay #138 Grass #81 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

91-118 43.5% in 209 matches

Clay 36-48
Grass 10-10
Hard 45-60

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 30 14-16 1565 1651 1622
2025 34 13-21 1570 1626 1537
2024 46 21-25 1562 1686 1574
2023 29 13-16 1553 1647 1606
2022 36 13-23 1592 1643 1512
2021 21 12-9 1540 1759 1754
2020 7 3-4 1518 1633 1620
2019 4 2-2 1500 1548 1529
2018 2 0-2 1500 1489 1448

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Daniil Medvedev L 0-3
Colton Smith W 2-1
Andre Ilagan W 2-0
Guido Ivan Justo W 2-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Nicolai Budkov Kjaer L 1-2
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Duncan Chan L 1-2
Jul 20, 2026 Estoril · Clay Luca Van Assche L 0-2
Tiago Torres W 2-0
Titouan Droguet W 2-0
Damir Dzumhur W 0-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Hugo Gaston?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 2.4 actual vs 3.7 projected
1.93 our average miss per match
1.49 baseline average miss (last five matches)
-30% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 20 of the 25 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Hugo Gaston follow the script?

On serve · 2025
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2025 25 8-17 72.0% 7 vs 9.6 exp On serve
2024 bt 27 12-15 59.3% 11 vs 10.3 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Hugo Gaston's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/hugo-gaston">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)