Mattia Bellucci

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1629 · #78 Hard #107 Clay #376 Grass #48 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

65-62 51.2% in 127 matches

Clay 9-13
Grass 15-9
Hard 41-40

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 35 16-19 1576 1644 1629
2025 46 20-26 1560 1673 1541
2024 33 24-9 1535 1774 1762
2023 13 5-8 1537 1656 1501

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Taylor Fritz L 0-3
Zsombor Piros W 3-0
Aug 23, 2026 Winston Salem · Hard Luciano Darderi L 1-2
Martin Landaluce W 2-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Jakub Mensik L 1-2
Zachary Svajda W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Sebastian Baez L 0-2
Jun 22, 2026 Eastbourne · Grass Ugo Humbert L 1-2
Jun 15, 2026 Halle · Grass Raphael Collignon L 1-2
Alexander Bublik W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Mattia Bellucci?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.4 actual vs 7.8 projected
3.40 our average miss per match
3.96 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+14% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 24 of the 29 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Mattia Bellucci follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 28 11-17 60.7% 11 vs 10.4 exp On serve
2025 29 12-17 44.8% 16 vs 11.3 exp Wild card

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Mattia Bellucci's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The ATP ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/mattia-bellucci">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)