Rafael Nadal
ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015
Season ELO trajectory
One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.
Career record
343-72 82.7% in 415 matches
Season by season
| Season | M | W-L | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 11-6 | 1504 | 1696 | 1669 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1-1 | 2102 | 2108 | 1987 |
| 2022 | 40 | 34-6 | 1988 | 2303 | 2079 |
| 2021 | 29 | 24-5 | 2485 | 2491 | 2290 |
| 2020 | 24 | 21-3 | 2498 | 2503 | 2303 |
| 2019 | 56 | 50-6 | 2248 | 2348 | 2348 |
| 2018 | 47 | 43-4 | 2564 | 2567 | 2284 |
| 2017 | 77 | 67-10 | 1830 | 2307 | 2210 |
| 2016 | 47 | 35-12 | 2023 | 2148 | 1945 |
| 2015 | 76 | 57-19 | 2158 | 2121 | 2057 |
Recent matches
| Week | Tournament | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2024 | Bastad · Clay | Nuno Borges | L 0-2 |
| Duje Ajdukovic | W 2-1 | ||
| Mariano Navone | W 2-1 | ||
| Cameron Norrie | W 2-0 | ||
| Leo Borg | W 2-0 | ||
| May 26, 2024 | Roland Garros · Clay | Alexander Zverev | L 0-3 |
| May 08, 2024 | Rome · Clay | Hubert Hurkacz | L 0-2 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 2-1 | ||
| Apr 24, 2024 | Madrid · Clay | Jiri Lehecka | L 0-2 |
| Pedro Cachin | W 2-1 |
Predictability: does Rafael Nadal follow the script?
On serve · 2024| Season | M | W-L | Model hit | Upsets | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 bt | 17 | 11-6 | 70.6% | 5 vs 5.8 exp | On serve |
An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Rafael Nadal's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/rafael-nadal">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)