Rafael Nadal

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

Not in the current rankings snapshot Last match: Jul 15, 2024 · inactive

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

343-72 82.7% in 415 matches

Clay 162-26
Grass 23-5
Hard 158-41

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2024 17 11-6 1504 1696 1669
2023 2 1-1 2102 2108 1987
2022 40 34-6 1988 2303 2079
2021 29 24-5 2485 2491 2290
2020 24 21-3 2498 2503 2303
2019 56 50-6 2248 2348 2348
2018 47 43-4 2564 2567 2284
2017 77 67-10 1830 2307 2210
2016 47 35-12 2023 2148 1945
2015 76 57-19 2158 2121 2057

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Jul 15, 2024 Bastad · Clay Nuno Borges L 0-2
Duje Ajdukovic W 2-1
Mariano Navone W 2-1
Cameron Norrie W 2-0
Leo Borg W 2-0
May 26, 2024 Roland Garros · Clay Alexander Zverev L 0-3
May 08, 2024 Rome · Clay Hubert Hurkacz L 0-2
Zizou Bergs W 2-1
Apr 24, 2024 Madrid · Clay Jiri Lehecka L 0-2
Pedro Cachin W 2-1

Predictability: does Rafael Nadal follow the script?

On serve · 2024
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2024 bt 17 11-6 70.6% 5 vs 5.8 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Rafael Nadal's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/rafael-nadal">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)