Stefanos Tsitsipas

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1860 · #11 Hard #17 Clay #30 Grass #74 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

375-185 67.0% in 560 matches

Clay 135-45
Grass 27-22
Hard 213-118

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 43 24-19 1638 1860 1860
2025 34 18-16 1820 1861 1581
2024 59 39-20 1924 2092 1836
2023 65 44-21 2055 2125 1896
2022 76 56-20 2154 2195 1984
2021 65 49-16 2094 2246 1927
2020 35 25-10 2030 2035 1917
2019 69 47-22 1710 2005 1924
2018 74 47-27 1561 2018 1881
2017 38 25-13 1526 1794 1777
2016 2 1-1 1500 1520 1504

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Jiri Lehecka W 3-1
Lloyd Harris W 3-1
Arthur Fils W 3-1
Aug 23, 2026 Winston Salem · Hard Aleksandar Kovacevic L 0-2
Jenson Brooksby W 2-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Felix Auger-Aliassime L 0-2
Valentin Royer W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Joao Fonseca L 0-2
Martin Damm W 2-0
Keegan Rice W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Stefanos Tsitsipas?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.2 actual vs 6.9 projected
2.93 our average miss per match
3.14 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+7% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 29 of the 34 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Stefanos Tsitsipas follow the script?

Straight sets · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 42 23-19 73.8% 11 vs 15.8 exp Straight sets
2025 34 18-16 50.0% 17 vs 13.0 exp On serve
2024 bt 59 39-20 67.8% 19 vs 16.9 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Stefanos Tsitsipas's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/stefanos-tsitsipas">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)