Los Cabos Mexico Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Adam Walton vs James Duckworth Prediction

Adam Walton

Rank: #90
58%
VS

James Duckworth

Rank: #103
42%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Adam Walton

Ranking Trends

Adam Walton

  • Current Rank: #90 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #86 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #90 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #102 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #95 (2024-07-15)

James Duckworth

  • Current Rank: #103 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #92 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #89 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #63 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #78 (2024-07-15)

Player Metrics

Adam Walton

Form Index: 39.8
ELO Rating: 644.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1555.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 171.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 4.6
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 86.7

James Duckworth

Form Index: 49.6
ELO Rating: 602.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 177.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 4.2
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 84.1

Recent Matches

Adam Walton
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (2-0) hard Los Cabos 61 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (2-0) hard Los Cabos 110 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Cazaux (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Holt (1-2) grass Mallorca 135 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) grass London 102 min

James Duckworth
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-0) hard Los Cabos 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) hard Los Cabos 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-2) grass Eastbourne 135 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-1) grass Eastbourne 141 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Adam Walton
vs
0
James Duckworth
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at the Los Cabos tournament in Mexico features Adam Walton facing off against James Duckworth on hard courts. Walton is predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 57.75%, while Duckworth holds a 42.25% chance of winning. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is set at 24.

Match Analysis

Adam Walton, currently ranked 90th, brings a form index of 39.80 and an Elo rating of 644.87 into the match. His cumulative fatigue stands at 171 minutes, which is slightly lower than Duckworth's. Walton's surface strength index is impressive at 6.27, indicating his solid performance on hard courts. Additionally, Walton's mean serve index of 97.19 gives him an edge, especially since it is over 5 points higher than Duckworth's mean serve index of 96.29. On the return front, Walton also outperforms Duckworth, whose mean return index is at 84.12, compared to Walton's 86.75. James Duckworth, ranked 103rd, has a form index of 49.63 and an Elo rating of 602.85, showcasing decent recent form but slightly lower overall performance metrics compared to Walton. Duckworth's recent matches include two straight-set victories in Los Cabos against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Adrian Mannarino, indicating he is in competitive shape. However, he also experienced a challenging outing at Wimbledon, where he fell in a five-set match against Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Final Prediction

Adam Walton's superior serving capabilities and return game, coupled with a stronger surface strength index, provide him a competitive advantage in this matchup. A critical factor to observe will be Walton's ability to capitalize on his serve effectiveness, which could dictate the pace and flow of the match.