Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Adrian Mannarino vs Christopher O'Connell Prediction

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #123
40%
VS

Christopher O'Connell

Rank: #77
60%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Christopher O'Connell

Player Metrics

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 76.3
ELO Rating: 556.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1623.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.4
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 87.4

Christopher O'Connell

Form Index: 23.0
ELO Rating: 687.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1561.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 6.1
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 85.2

Recent Matches

Adrian Mannarino

  • Last Match: vs Li Tu (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Andrea Collarini (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 125 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Christopher O'Connell (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 88 min

Christopher O'Connell

  • Last Match: vs Johannus Monday (1-2) grass Eastbourne 112 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex Bolt (1-2) grass London 133 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs James Duckworth (2-0) grass London 76 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Adrian Mannarino
vs
0
Christopher O'Connell
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the Wimbledon 2025 tournament progresses, the matchup between Adrian Mannarino and Christopher O'Connell in the Round of 128 promises to be intriguing. Both players will be battling on grass, a surface that can significantly influence player performance. The predicted winner is Christopher O'Connell, with a probability of 59.53%, while Adrian Mannarino has a 40.47% chance of victory. A total of approximately 37 games are anticipated in this encounter.

Match Analysis

Adrian Mannarino currently holds a rank of 123, which is significantly lower than Christopher O'Connell's rank of 77. Mannarino's form index stands at 76.26, reflecting a solid performance recently, while O'Connell's form index is notably lower at 22.98, suggesting recent struggles. In terms of Elo rating, Mannarino's score of 556.11 trails behind O'Connell's 687.05, indicating a stronger performance history for O'Connell. Fatigue could play a role, with Mannarino having accumulated 522 minutes on court, while O'Connell enters this match with no recorded fatigue, giving him a potential stamina advantage. Both players have similar mean serve indices, with Mannarino at 96.79 and O'Connell at 96.10, but Mannarino boasts a better mean return index (87.45) compared to O'Connell’s (85.19), suggesting he may be more effective when returning serves. In their recent performances, Mannarino has shown resilience with three consecutive victories in the current tournament, winning all three matches convincingly on grass, leading to a strong momentum heading into this match. Conversely, O'Connell's recent form has been less favorable, with a notable loss in his last two matches at Eastbourne and London, despite a win against James Duckworth three matches ago. This inconsistency could impact his confidence.

Final Prediction

Christopher O'Connell is favored to win due to his superior rank, Elo rating, and lack of fatigue compared to Mannarino. However, Mannarino's strong recent performance and better return index could pose challenges for O'Connell. A key factor to watch will be how O'Connell manages any pressure stemming from his recent losses, as it could influence his gameplay against Mannarino.