Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Adrian Mannarino vs Eliot Spizzirri Prediction

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #68
37%
VS

Eliot Spizzirri

Rank: #89
63%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Eliot Spizzirri

Player Metrics

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 3.5
ELO Rating: 798.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1571.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 29.8
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 20.5
Serve Rating: 31.8
Return Rating: 82.4

Eliot Spizzirri

Form Index: 74.6
ELO Rating: 690.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1529.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 169
Surface Strength:
Hard: 21.2
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 16.2
Serve Rating: 30.1
Return Rating: 56.4

Recent Matches

Adrian Mannarino

  • Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (0-2) hard Hong Kong 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (0-2) hard Metz 107 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (0-2) hard Paris 71 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) hard Shanghai 143 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) hard Shanghai 112 min

Eliot Spizzirri

  • Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (2-0) hard Auckland 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Cristian Garin (2-0) hard Auckland 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (0-2) hard Brisbane 79 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (0-2) hard Brussels 99 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Botic Van De Zandschulp (2-0) hard Brussels 74 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Adrian Mannarino
vs
0
Eliot Spizzirri
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Adrian Mannarino and Eliot Spizzirri at the Auckland tournament marks an intriguing clash in the Round of 32 on hard courts. Mannarino, ranked 68th, faces Spizzirri, who is currently ranked 89th. The prediction favors Spizzirri as the winner with a probability of 63.35%, while Mannarino holds a 36.65% chance. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is predicted to be 22.0.

Match Analysis

Adrian Mannarino enters the match with a form index of 3.48 and an Elo rating of 798.62, suggesting he has struggled recently, particularly as he has lost his last three matches. His surface strength index stands at 29.82, and his mean serve index is 31.83, which indicates he has a relatively competitive serve. However, his mean return index is significantly higher at 82.41, showcasing his prowess in returning serves. In contrast, Eliot Spizzirri boasts a much better form index of 74.55, indicating recent improvements, especially following two consecutive wins in Auckland. His Elo rating of 690.29 and surface strength index of 21.17 suggest he is still developing but is currently in stronger form compared to Mannarino. Notably, Mannarino's mean serve index exceeds Spizzirri's by a margin of over 1.7 points, although the return index difference is quite pronounced, with Mannarino leading by 26.05 points. In their recent performances, Mannarino has not managed to secure a win in his last three matches, failing to win a set against strong opponents like Marin Cilic and Arthur Cazaux. Meanwhile, Spizzirri has shown a resurgence with two solid victories in Auckland, defeating Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Cristian Garin without dropping a set, which is indicative of his current confidence and form.

Final Prediction

Eliot Spizzirri's recent successes and superior form index provide him with a notable advantage heading into this match against Mannarino. His ability to maintain momentum and confidence will be crucial, especially given Mannarino's struggles. A key factor to watch will be how Spizzirri handles Mannarino's strong returning capabilities, which could influence the dynamics of the match.