Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Adrian Mannarino vs Tallon Griekspoor Prediction

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #89
33%
VS

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #32
67%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Tallon Griekspoor

Ranking Trends

Adrian Mannarino

  • Current Rank: #89 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #130 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #127 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #67 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #42 (2024-08-26)

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Current Rank: #32 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #35 (2025-05-26)
  • 6 Months Ago: #47 (2025-02-24)
  • 9 Months Ago: #40 (2024-11-25)
  • 12 Months Ago: #40 (2024-08-26)

Player Metrics

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 57.1
ELO Rating: 894.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1673.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 87.5

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 21.1
ELO Rating: 1248.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1683.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.5
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 10.1
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Adrian Mannarino
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Cincinnati 108 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tommy Paul (2-1) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Machac (2-0) hard Cincinnati 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jordan Thompson (2-0) hard Cincinnati 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Dalibor Svrcina (2-0) hard Cincinnati 90 min

Tallon Griekspoor
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Marton Fucsovics (1-2) hard Winston Salem 143 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Hamad Medjedovic (0-2) hard Cincinnati 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-2) hard Toronto 119 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jesper de Jong (1-2) clay Bastad 160 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Andrea Pellegrino (2-1) clay Bastad 131 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Adrian Mannarino
vs
0
Tallon Griekspoor
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the first round of the 2025 US Open held in New York on hard courts, Tallon Griekspoor is predicted to emerge victorious against Adrian Mannarino. With a probability of 67.09% for Griekspoor and 32.91% for Mannarino, the anticipated total number of games played is around 37.

Match Analysis

Adrian Mannarino is currently ranked 89th, with a form index of 57.10 and an Elo rating of 894.61. His surface strength index stands at 8.97, indicating a moderate ability on hard courts. In contrast, Tallon Griekspoor holds a significantly higher rank of 32, with a form index of 21.13 and an Elo rating of 1248.70. Griekspoor also boasts a superior surface strength index of 13.48, showcasing a better adaptation to hard surfaces. Notably, the mean serve index of Mannarino (96.66) is slightly higher than Griekspoor's (96.50), but the mean return index of Mannarino (87.52) exceeds Griekspoor's (85.07) by over 5 points, reflecting Mannarino's stronger return game. Analyzing recent performances, Mannarino has had mixed results, winning two out of his last three matches, including a victory over Tommy Paul but suffering a defeat against Jannik Sinner. Griekspoor, however, has faced challenges, losing his last three matches, including one against Marton Fucsovics, which indicates he may be struggling with form despite his higher ranking and Elo rating.

Final Prediction

The predicted winner, Tallon Griekspoor, has a distinct edge due to his higher ranking and Elo rating, despite recent struggles. A key factor to monitor during the match will be how well Mannarino can leverage his superior return index against Griekspoor's serve, which could influence the flow of the game.