Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Tabilo enters with the higher ranking (42) and a slightly superior Elo (800.84 vs 769.69). Both players show nearly identical form indices (Tabilo 57.68, Tirante 57.75), but fatigue is a clear differentiator: Tabilo has spent 99 minutes on court in the event versus Tirante’s 174 minutes, which could influence physical performance on clay. Surface strength indices are low and similar for both (Tabilo 6.63, Tirante 6.09), suggesting neither player is a clay specialist according to the proprietary metric. Serve and return profiles diverge. Tirante posts a notably higher mean serve index (96.66) than Tabilo (89.73) — a difference greater than 5 points — and an even larger advantage in mean return index (88.90 vs 52.58). That combination suggests Tirante can both serve effectively and apply strong return pressure. Over their last three matches, Tabilo has two wins and one loss, including a straight-sets win in Santiago and a long three-set loss in Rio. Tirante has also recorded two wins recently (including a 174-minute win in Santiago) and one loss to Tabilo in Rio; his recent schedule has been heavier and more physically demanding.