Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #93
27%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #19
73%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

Ranking Trends

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current Rank: #93 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #83 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #77 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #68 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #92 (2024-09-16)

Alexander Bublik

  • Current Rank: #19 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #45 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #80 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #33 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #27 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 38.9
ELO Rating: 703.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1557.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 102.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.8
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 86.4

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 84.2
ELO Rating: 1852.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1748.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Aleksandar Vukic
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs David Goffin (2-1) hard Hangzhou 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Stefan Dostanic (0-2) hard Winston Salem 64 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Karl Poling (2-0) hard Winston Salem 74 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Luca Pow (2-0) hard Winston Salem 65 min

Alexander Bublik
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tommy Paul (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Schoolkate (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Botic Van De Zandschulp (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 82 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alexander Shevchenko (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 75 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Aleksandar Vukic
vs
1
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the ATP 250 tournament in Hangzhou, China, Aleksandar Vukic will face off against Alexander Bublik on hard courts. The matchup sees Bublik as the favored player, holding a 73.47% probability of winning compared to Vukic's 26.53%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 24.

Match Analysis

Aleksandar Vukic currently sits at rank 93, with a form index of 38.92 and an Elo rating of 703.67. He has demonstrated signs of fatigue, having spent 102 minutes on court during this tournament. His surface strength index is 6.77, indicating a below-average performance on hard courts. Vukic's mean serve index is relatively strong at 97.46, but his mean return index of 86.42 suggests he may struggle to counter Bublik's serve. In comparison, Alexander Bublik, ranked 19, has a significantly higher form index of 84.24 and an Elo rating of 1852.23. Notably, Bublik shows no fatigue, having played no matches in the current tournament. His surface strength index stands at 10.77, and while his mean serve index of 95.50 is slightly lower than Vukic's, his mean return index of 86.43 is virtually on par. In their recent performances, Vukic has had mixed results, winning one out of his last three matches, including a key victory over David Goffin in the current tournament. However, he suffered defeats against Jenson Brooksby and Stefan Dostanic in previous outings. Bublik, on the other hand, has been in good form, winning all three of his recent matches, including two at the US Open against Tommy Paul and Tristan Schoolkate, showcasing his ability to compete at a high level.

Final Prediction

Alexander Bublik's superior rank, form, and lack of fatigue give him a distinct advantage heading into this match. Moreover, his consistent recent performances highlight his readiness for the challenge. A key factor to observe will be how effectively Vukic can handle Bublik's serve, which could dictate the pace and flow of the match.