Tokio Japan Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic

Rank: #93
51%
VS

Daniel Altmaier

Rank: #49
49%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Vukic

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Ranking Trends

Aleksandar Vukic

  • Current #93 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #80 2025-06-23
  • 6 mo ago #77 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #68 2024-12-23
  • 12 mo ago #90 2024-09-23

Daniel Altmaier

  • Current #49 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #59 2025-06-23
  • 6 mo ago #82 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #89 2024-12-23
  • 12 mo ago #84 2024-09-23

Player Metrics

Aleksandar Vukic

Form Index: 57.7
ELO Rating: 746.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1572.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 342.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 5.1
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 86.2

Daniel Altmaier

Form Index: 47.1
ELO Rating: 1015.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1594.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 90.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.5
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.7

Recent Matches

Aleksandar Vukic
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

Daniel Altmaier
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Aleksandar Vukic
vs
0
Daniel Altmaier
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Tokyo tournament is set to feature Aleksandar Vukic against Daniel Altmaier on hard courts. With both players showcasing competitive spirits, the predicted winner is Aleksandar Vukic, who holds a slight edge with a 50.87% probability of victory compared to Altmaier's 49.13%. A total of 24 games is anticipated in this closely matched encounter.

Match Analysis

Currently, Aleksandar Vukic is ranked 93rd, while Daniel Altmaier is positioned significantly higher at 49th. Vukic's form index stands at 57.65, showing a decent level of recent performance, whereas Altmaier's form index is lower at 47.06. In terms of Elo ratings, Vukic has a rating of 746.54, which is considerably below Altmaier's 1015.44. Fatigue could play a role in this match; Vukic has accumulated 342 minutes on court during the tournament, compared to Altmaier's 90 minutes, indicating that Vukic may be more physically taxed. Surface strength indices favor Altmaier (8.50) over Vukic (7.02), suggesting that Altmaier may feel more comfortable on this hard surface. In their recent performances, Vukic has been impressive, winning all three of his matches in Tokyo, including a notable victory over Damir Dzumhur in his last match. Altmaier, on the other hand, has also displayed strong form, winning his last match against Denis Shapovalov convincingly. However, he recently faced a setback against Alex de Minaur at the US Open, which may have impacted his confidence.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Vukic's slight edge in match experience and recent form, coupled with the cumulative fatigue of his opponent, gives him a favorable position heading into this encounter. A key factor to watch will be Vukic's ability to maintain his serving efficiency, as both players have relatively close mean serve indices, with Vukic marginally ahead. This could be crucial in determining the match outcome.

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