Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Francisco Comesana vs Alex de Minaur Prediction

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #73
30%
VS

Alex de Minaur

Rank: #13
70%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alex de Minaur

Ranking Trends

Francisco Comesana

  • Current Rank: #73 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #70 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #86 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #101 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #101 (2024-07-29)

Alex de Minaur

  • Current Rank: #13 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #7 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #8 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #10 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #6 (2024-07-29)

Player Metrics

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 41.0
ELO Rating: 799.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 86.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.2
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 5.8
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 87.3

Alex de Minaur

Form Index: 74.7
ELO Rating: 2797.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1793.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 22.1
Clay: 27.1
Grass: 28.5
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 88.3

Recent Matches

Francisco Comesana
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) hard Toronto 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Cazaux (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 106 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Boyer (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) clay Gstaad 71 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Roberto Carballes Baena (2-0) clay Gstaad 73 min

Alex de Minaur
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-0) hard Washington 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Washington 95 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jiri Lehecka (2-1) hard Washington 165 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-0) hard Washington 109 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Comesana
vs
0
Alex de Minaur
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Francisco Comesana and Alex de Minaur at the Toronto Masters 1000 tournament will take place on hard courts in Canada during the Round of 64 phase. The predicted winner is Alex de Minaur, with a win probability of 69.92%, while Francisco Comesana has a 30.08% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Francisco Comesana currently holds a ranking of 73, with a form index of 41.03, indicating a struggling performance recently. His Elo rating of 799.14 reflects his relative standing in the sport, while a fatigue level of 86.0 suggests he has been on court for a considerable amount of time during this tournament. His surface strength index of 5.24 highlights limited effectiveness on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 97.26 and a mean return index of 87.32. Notably, there's a strong performance gap in his serve compared to de Minaur, who has a mean serve index of 94.40. In contrast, Alex de Minaur, ranked 13, boasts a form index of 74.69 and an impressive Elo rating of 2797.08. He enters the match fresh, with no cumulative fatigue, indicating he has not played extensively in the current tournament. His surface strength index of 22.14 and mean return index of 88.34 further emphasize his capability on hard courts. De Minaur has shown strong recent form, winning all his last three matches in straight sets, demonstrating a solid performance on this surface.

Final Prediction

Alex de Minaur's superior ranking, fresh condition, and recent form give him a significant advantage over Francisco Comesana in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be de Minaur's ability to maintain his aggressive playstyle and exploit Comesana's fatigue and lower surface strength, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.