Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Alex de Minaur vs Jiri Lehecka Prediction

Alex de Minaur

Rank: #13
55%
VS

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #25
45%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alex de Minaur

Ranking Trends

Alex de Minaur

  • Current Rank: #13 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #7 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #8 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #10 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #6 (2024-07-22)

Jiri Lehecka

  • Current Rank: #25 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #27 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #29 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #28 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #28 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Alex de Minaur

Form Index: 71.6
ELO Rating: 2796.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1786.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 109.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 22.1
Clay: 27.0
Grass: 28.3
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 88.3

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 63.2
ELO Rating: 1946.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1699.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 124.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.7
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 17.1
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 84.8

Recent Matches

Alex de Minaur
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-0) hard Washington 109 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs August Holmgren (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Arthur Cazaux (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Roberto Carballes Baena (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Jiri Lehecka
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Zachary Svajda (2-1) hard Washington 124 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Mattia Bellucci (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Dellien (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) grass London 128 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jack Draper (2-1) grass London 127 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alex de Minaur
vs
1
Jiri Lehecka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the ATP 500 tournament in Washington, D.C., Alex de Minaur is set to face Jiri Lehecka on hard courts. The match promises to be competitive, with de Minaur slightly favored to win, holding a probability of 54.75%, while Lehecka has a 45.25% chance. The predicted total number of games played is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 13th, Alex de Minaur boasts a solid form index of 71.61 and an impressive Elo rating of 2796.56. His fatigue level stands at 109 minutes, which may impact his performance, but his strength on hard courts is notable with a surface strength index of 22.12. Additionally, de Minaur has a mean serve index of 95.82 and a mean return index of 88.33, showing a strong capability in both areas. In contrast, Jiri Lehecka, ranked 25th, has a lower form index of 63.21 and an Elo rating of 1946.41. His fatigue is slightly higher at 124 minutes, and his surface strength index is lower at 17.66. Lehecka's mean serve index is marginally better at 96.12, but his mean return index of 84.81 falls short compared to de Minaur’s. Over their last three matches, de Minaur has demonstrated resilience, winning convincingly against Yunchaokete Bu in his recent outing. However, he faced a tough challenge against Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon, where he lost. Lehecka, on the other hand, has seen mixed results, winning his last match against Zachary Svajda but struggling against Mattia Bellucci in his previous match at Wimbledon.

Final Prediction

Alex de Minaur appears to have the upper hand due to his higher ranking, better form, and greater consistency in recent performances. A key factor to observe will be how de Minaur manages his fatigue, as both players will need to maintain their stamina on the hard surface to secure victory.