Australian Open Australia Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Alexander Blockx vs Jaime Faria: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Alexander Blockx

Rank: #115
43%
VS

Jaime Faria

Rank: #151
57%
Expected Total Games: 37.6
Predicted Winner: Jaime Faria

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Ranking Trends

Alexander Blockx

  • Current #115 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #121 2025-10-20
  • 6 mo ago #122 2025-07-21
  • 9 mo ago #151 2025-04-21
  • 12 mo ago #203 2025-01-13

Jaime Faria

  • Current #151 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #127 2025-10-20
  • 6 mo ago #119 2025-07-21
  • 9 mo ago #105 2025-04-21
  • 12 mo ago #125 2025-01-13

Player Metrics

Alexander Blockx

Form Index: 45.7
ELO Rating: 515.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1531.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.4
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 3.2
Serve Rating: 53.1
Return Rating: 48.4

Jaime Faria

Form Index: 91.4
ELO Rating: 481.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1556.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.6
Clay: 12.0
Grass: 10.5
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 93.7

Recent Matches

Alexander Blockx
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Jaime Faria
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Benjamin Hassan (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Luka Mikrut (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marco Trungelliti (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tibo Colson (1-2) hard Brussels 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (1-2) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Blockx
vs
0
Jaime Faria
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Alexander Blockx and Jaime Faria at the Australian Open marks an intriguing contest in the Round of 128 on hard courts. With Faria slightly favored, he has a 56.62% chance of winning, while Blockx has a 43.38% probability of victory. The expected total number of games in this match is projected to be around 37.56, indicating a possibly competitive encounter.

Match Analysis

Alexander Blockx, currently ranked 115, has a form index of 45.70 and an Elo rating of 515.07, reflecting a recent resurgence in his performance. However, he has displayed moderate fatigue levels at 522 minutes in this tournament. His surface strength index of 2.40 suggests he is still developing his game on hard courts. In contrast, Jaime Faria, ranked 151, boasts a higher form index of 91.38 and an Elo rating of 481.49, indicating better recent form. Faria has a significantly higher mean serve index of 95.62 compared to Blockx's 53.10, showcasing his superior serving capability. Additionally, Faria's mean return index of 93.65 indicates he is also a strong returner, with a notable lead over Blockx's 48.38. In their recent performances, both players have shown resilience. Blockx has won his last two matches convincingly, taking all sets without dropping any to opponents. Faria, on the other hand, has also excelled, winning his last three matches in straight sets. This momentum could play a crucial role as both players head into this match with strong confidence.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 37.6 Most likely outcome: 37 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Alexander Blockx - Jaime Faria) +8.2 Most likely spread: +8 (Alexander Blockx wins 8 more games)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The match is expected to yield around 8.89 aces and 6.37 double faults. Given the characteristics of hard courts, which offer a balanced playing surface, both players are likely to benefit from their serving skills. Faria’s significantly higher mean serve index suggests he could dominate in the aces prediction, potentially leading to a higher ace count than Blockx. The expected double faults are relatively moderate, indicating both players are likely to maintain a level of consistency on their serves.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 8.9 Most likely: 8 aces
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 6.4 Most likely: 6 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Jaime Faria's edge in serving and returning capabilities, combined with his superior form index, positions him as the predicted winner in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Faria can leverage his serve to control points, potentially leading to an advantage in aces and overall match tempo.

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