Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Alexander Shevchenko vs Dusan Lajovic Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #97
38%
VS

Dusan Lajovic

Rank: #131
62%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Dusan Lajovic

Player Metrics

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 63.8
ELO Rating: 597.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1580.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 6.1
Grass: 6.2
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 89.3

Dusan Lajovic

Form Index: 41.6
ELO Rating: 784.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1593.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.5
Clay: 9.0
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mathys Erhard (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Shintaro Mochizuki (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (0-2) clay Rome 86 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (2-0) clay Rome 83 min

Dusan Lajovic

  • Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (0-2) clay Geneva 72 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Rome 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (2-0) clay Rome 80 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-1) clay Rome 123 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-1) clay Rome 147 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Shevchenko
vs
0
Dusan Lajovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at Roland Garros between Alexander Shevchenko and Dusan Lajovic marks a critical phase in the Round of 128 on clay. The predicted winner is Dusan Lajovic, with a probability of winning set at 61.73%, while Alexander Shevchenko has a 38.27% chance. The anticipated total number of games played is approximately 37.

Match Analysis

Dusan Lajovic, currently ranked 131, has an Elo rating of 784.80 and a surface strength index of 9.03, which indicates his proficiency on clay. In contrast, Alexander Shevchenko, ranked 97, has a slightly lower Elo rating of 597.22 and a surface strength index of 6.10. This disparity in clay performance suggests that Lajovic may adapt more effectively to the conditions. Additionally, Lajovic has zero cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, while Shevchenko has accumulated 522 minutes on court, which may impact his stamina in the match. In terms of serve and return capabilities, Shevchenko boasts a mean serve index of 96.84, slightly higher than Lajovic's 95.63. However, Lajovic's mean return index is 87.55, compared to Shevchenko's 89.34. These numbers indicate a narrow advantage for Shevchenko in returns but the overall indices are closely matched, meaning both players are capable of putting pressure on their opponents. Analyzing their recent performances, Shevchenko has won two out of his last three matches, while Lajovic has struggled, losing two of three. However, Lajovic's fatigue-free state may provide him with an advantage.

Final Prediction

Dusan Lajovic's edge comes from his lack of fatigue and stronger clay surface performance, despite his recent inconsistent results. A key factor to monitor will be how Shevchenko's accumulated fatigue affects his performance, particularly in the latter stages of the match.