Chengdu China Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Alexander Shevchenko vs Gael Monfils Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #96
39%
VS

Gael Monfils

Rank: #52
61%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Gael Monfils

Ranking Trends

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Current Rank: #96 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #97 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #98 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #78 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #58 (2024-09-16)

Gael Monfils

  • Current Rank: #52 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #42 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #46 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #55 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #44 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 24.3
ELO Rating: 610.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1573.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 89.3

Gael Monfils

Form Index: 26.8
ELO Rating: 1156.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1605.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.0
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 9.4
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Alexander Shevchenko
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Elahi Galan (0-2) hard Cincinnati 93 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tyler Zink (2-1) hard Cincinnati 155 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Marton Fucsovics (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 86 min

Gael Monfils
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Barrios Vera (1-2) hard Toronto 166 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Yibing Wu (0-2) hard Washington 78 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Marton Fucsovics (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Humbert (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) grass Stuttgart 105 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Shevchenko
vs
0
Gael Monfils
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match in the Chengdu ATP 250 tournament features Alexander Shevchenko facing off against Gael Monfils. Set on hard courts in China, this Round of 32 clash sees Monfils as the predicted winner, with a probability of victory at 61.29%, while Shevchenko's chances stand at 38.71%. The anticipated total number of games in the match is projected to be 23.

Match Analysis

Alexander Shevchenko enters the match ranked 96 with a form index of 24.32 and an Elo rating of 610.51. His surface strength index of 6.06 indicates a modest ability on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 96.74 is quite strong. However, his return index of 89.26 is not significantly superior to Monfils'. On the other hand, Gael Monfils is currently ranked 52, boasting a higher form index of 26.76 and a significantly better Elo rating of 1156.22. His surface strength index stands at 12.96, reflecting a stronger performance on hard courts than Shevchenko. Monfils has a mean serve index of 95.60 and a mean return index of 86.08, which shows he has a slight edge in serving capabilities. In their last three matches, Shevchenko has struggled, only managing one win against Tyler Zink at Cincinnati, while losing to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Daniel Elahi Galan in the following two matches. Conversely, Monfils has faced challenges as well, with his most recent match ending in a loss to Tomas Barrios Vera, adding to defeats against Yibing Wu and Marton Fucsovics in previous encounters. Despite the recent setbacks, Monfils’ overall experience and higher ranking could provide him with an advantage moving into this match.

Final Prediction

Gael Monfils holds the edge in this matchup due to his superior ranking, Elo rating, and experience on hard surfaces, despite both players' recent struggles. A critical factor to observe will be the effectiveness of Monfils' serve and how Shevchenko responds to it, as this could dictate the flow of the match.