Chengdu China Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Alexander Shevchenko vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #96
43%
VS

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #36
57%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

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Ranking Trends

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Current #96 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #97 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #98 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #78 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #58 2024-09-16

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Current #36 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #36 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #29 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #31 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #51 2024-09-16

Player Metrics

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 36.0
ELO Rating: 664.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1580.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 108.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.7
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 89.3

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 53.3
ELO Rating: 1010.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1533.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 104.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 10.7
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 82.9

Recent Matches

Alexander Shevchenko
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Shevchenko
vs
0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match in the Round of 16 at the Chengdu tournament promises to be an exciting encounter on hard courts, with Alexander Shevchenko facing Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. The prediction favors Mpetshi Perricard, who has a 56.77% probability of winning compared to Shevchenko's 43.23%. The anticipated total number of games played is estimated at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Alexander Shevchenko currently holds a rank of 96 with a form index of 35.96 and an Elo rating of 664.91. His cumulative fatigue stands at 108.0 minutes, which could impact his performance. On the other hand, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is significantly higher ranked at 36, showcasing a form index of 53.26 and a more robust Elo rating of 1010.09. With a slightly lower fatigue level of 104.0 minutes, Perricard appears to be in better condition. The difference in their mean serve indices is notable, with Shevchenko at 96.77 and Perricard at 97.69; however, the mean return index shows a larger gap, as Shevchenko's index is 89.27 compared to Perricard's 82.92, indicating Shevchenko's strength in returning serves. In their recent performances, Shevchenko has struggled, winning only one match out of his last three, including a loss to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the US Open. Conversely, Perricard has also faced challenges, but he secured a victory against Filip Misolic in his last match, indicating he might have regained some momentum after a tough outing against Botic Van De Zandschulp at Winston Salem.

Final Prediction

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's higher ranking, better form index, and superior Elo rating provide him with a competitive edge in this matchup. A critical factor to monitor will be how Shevchenko handles Perricard's serve, especially given the contrasting mean serve indices, which could dictate the flow of the match.

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