Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Andrey Rublev vs Valentin Royer Prediction

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #14
68%
VS

Valentin Royer

Rank: #88
32%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Ranking Trends

Andrey Rublev

  • Current Rank: #14 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #14 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #9 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #8 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #6 (2024-09-16)

Valentin Royer

  • Current Rank: #88 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #114 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #121 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #197 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #213 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 83.8
ELO Rating: 1964.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1883.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.7
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 26.9
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 87.3

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 52.0
ELO Rating: 517.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1549.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 416.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.7
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.4

Recent Matches

Andrey Rublev
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Boyer (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Dino Prizmic (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) hard Cincinnati 137 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) hard Cincinnati 64 min

Valentin Royer
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-1) hard Hangzhou 152 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-1) hard Hangzhou 163 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Charles Chen (2-0) hard Hangzhou 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Denis Shapovalov (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Darwin Blanch (1-2) hard Winston Salem 126 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Valentin Royer
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Hangzhou tournament in China, Andrey Rublev is set to face Valentin Royer on hard courts. The predicted winner is Andrey Rublev, who has a probability of winning set at 67.52%, compared to Royer's 32.48%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is approximately 23.0.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev, currently ranked 14th, boasts a strong form index of 83.81 and an Elo rating of 1964.07, indicating his competitive edge and consistency. He has shown no signs of fatigue in this tournament, with a fatigue score of 0.0. His surface strength index is notably high at 15.67, indicating his proficiency on hard courts. In contrast, Valentin Royer, ranked 88th, has a considerably lower form index of 52.03 and an Elo rating of 517.65. Royer is grappling with fatigue, having accumulated 416 minutes on court, and his surface strength index is a mere 3.73. Additionally, Rublev's mean serve index (97.64) significantly outshines Royer's (94.94) by more than 5 points. Examining their recent performances, Rublev demonstrated excellent form in his last three matches at the US Open, winning all three with impressive set scores, including a tough five-set match against Coleman Wong. His recent victories suggest he is in formidable shape. Meanwhile, Royer has also been successful in his last three matches at Hangzhou, winning two out of three, but the overall quality of his opposition and the matches played suggests a more challenging path.

Final Prediction

Rublev's superior ranking, form, and absence of fatigue give him a decisive advantage going into this match. A key factor to watch will be Rublev's serving efficiency, which could prove critical in securing breaks against Royer and dictating the pace of the match.