Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Arthur Rinderknech

Rank: #54
36%
VS

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #32
64%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alex Michelsen

Ranking Trends

Arthur Rinderknech

  • Current Rank: #54 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #72 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #74 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #59 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #62 (2024-09-30)

Alex Michelsen

  • Current Rank: #32 (2025-09-22)
  • 3 Months Ago: #32 (2025-06-30)
  • 6 Months Ago: #34 (2025-03-31)
  • 9 Months Ago: #41 (2024-12-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #43 (2024-09-30)

Player Metrics

Arthur Rinderknech

Form Index: 49.7
ELO Rating: 1025.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1585.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 104.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.0
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 8.6
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 85.7

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 22.2
ELO Rating: 1144.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1597.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Arthur Rinderknech
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Hamad Medjedovic (1-1) hard Shanghai 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex De Minaur (1-2) hard Beijing 136 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs David Goffin (0-2) hard Beijing 79 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs David Goffin (0-2) hard Beijing 79 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (2-0) hard Beijing 75 min

Alex Michelsen
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) hard Tokio 82 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Comesana (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Cincinnati 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) hard Cincinnati 146 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) hard Toronto 104 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Arthur Rinderknech
vs
0
Alex Michelsen
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
1 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Arthur Rinderknech and Alex Michelsen in the Round of 64 at the Shanghai Masters 1000 is set against a hard court backdrop. With both players vying for advancement, Alex Michelsen is predicted to emerge victorious with a win probability of 63.51%, while Arthur Rinderknech has a 36.49% chance. The anticipated total number of games played is around 23.

Match Analysis

Arthur Rinderknech, currently ranked 54, has a form index of 49.7 and an Elo rating of 1025.2. His fatigue level is relatively high at 104 minutes, which may impact his performance as he has played more than his opponent recently. On the other hand, Alex Michelsen, ranked 32, showcases a better form index of 22.2 and a higher Elo rating of 1144.0, indicating a stronger recent performance. Notably, Michelsen has a surface strength index of 9.91 compared to Rinderknech's 9.04, highlighting his advantage on hard courts. Furthermore, Michelsen boasts a mean return index of 88.72, which is significantly higher than Rinderknech's 85.74, providing him with an edge in returning serves. In their recent matches, Rinderknech has struggled, winning just one out of his last three matches, with challenging performances against players like Alex De Minaur and David Goffin. Conversely, Michelsen has faced difficulties as well, losing all three of his recent matches, including tough encounters at the US Open and Cincinnati. However, his lower fatigue level may provide him an advantage in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Alex Michelsen's superior ranking, lower fatigue, and stronger return performance position him favorably against Arthur Rinderknech. A key factor to observe will be how Rinderknech manages his fatigue, which could significantly influence the match's outcome.