Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Borna Coric vs Emilio Nava Prediction

Borna Coric

Rank: #92
47%
VS

Emilio Nava

Rank: #114
53%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Emilio Nava

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Ranking Trends

Borna Coric

  • Current #92 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #84 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #143 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #95 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #83 2024-08-12

Emilio Nava

  • Current #114 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #137 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #215 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #200 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #145 2024-08-12

Player Metrics

Borna Coric

Form Index: 21.4
ELO Rating: 551.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1594.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 5.3
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.5

Emilio Nava

Form Index: 57.3
ELO Rating: 530.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1558.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 186.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.2
Clay: 2.6
Grass: 2.3
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Borna Coric
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

Emilio Nava
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Borna Coric
vs
0
Emilio Nava
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

This match features Borna Coric and Emilio Nava in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament, taking place on hard courts in Ohio. The predicted winner is Emilio Nava, with a probability of 52.81% compared to Coric's 47.19%. The total number of games anticipated in this encounter is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

Borna Coric, currently ranked 92, has a form index of 21.40 and an Elo rating of 551.34. He shows no cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, which is advantageous. His surface strength index of 6.33 suggests a reasonable ability on hard courts, while his mean serve index (97.03) is slightly superior to Nava's (95.80). However, Coric's mean return index of 86.46 is marginally better than Nava's 86.10, indicating a small edge in returning serves. Emilio Nava, ranked 114, has a better form index of 57.34 and a slightly lower Elo rating of 530.68. His cumulative fatigue is at 186 minutes, which may impact his performance. Nevertheless, Nava has shown strong recent form, winning his last two matches in Cincinnati convincingly, while Coric has struggled, losing his last three matches. This recent success and higher form index may give Nava a psychological edge.

Final Prediction

Emilio Nava appears to have the upper hand due to his recent performances and better form index, suggesting he is more in tune with his game. A key factor to watch will be how each player manages their serve and return game, as slight differences in their serve and return indices could play a critical role in the match outcome.

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