Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia Bellucci: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Brandon Nakashima arrives ranked 32 with a form index of 32.28 and an Elo of 1354.12. He shows no tournament fatigue (0.0 minutes on court) and posts a surface strength index of 7.73. Nakashima’s mean serve index is 81.55 and his mean return index is 17.14. Mattia Bellucci, ranked 74, has a lower form index (11.07) and a much lower Elo (722.78), also with zero tournament fatigue and a surface strength index of 6.51. Bellucci’s mean serve index is significantly higher at 98.21 (difference >5 points), while his mean return index is far stronger at 92.39 compared with Nakashima’s 17.14 (difference >5 points). Those serve and return differentials suggest contrasting strengths: Bellucci’s serve and return metrics are standout in the data, while Nakashima’s profile is supported by higher ranking and Elo. Over the last three matches Nakashima is 1–2: a win over Aleksandar Kovacevic (straight sets in Brisbane) and losses to Daniil Medvedev and Botic van de Zandschulp, the latter a four-set Australian Open result with a long 174-minute contest. Bellucci is also 1–2 in his last three: a straight-sets win over Geoffrey Blancaneaux and losses to Hamad Medjedovic and Casper Ruud, including a 174-minute Australian Open match. Recent results show both players capable of a win but with struggles against higher-ranked opponents.