Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Carlos Taberner vs Jesper de Jong Prediction

Carlos Taberner

Rank: #107
32%
VS

Jesper de Jong

Rank: #106
68%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Jesper de Jong

Player Metrics

Carlos Taberner

Form Index: 40.9
ELO Rating: 440.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1522.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 315.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.6
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 2.2
Serve Rating: 94.1
Return Rating: 87.6

Jesper de Jong

Form Index: 63.5
ELO Rating: 864.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 179.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 7.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Carlos Taberner

  • Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-1) clay Umag 200 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-0) clay Umag 115 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roberto Carballes Baena (1-2) clay Gstaad 153 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Jesper de Jong

  • Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-0) clay Umag 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mili Poljicak (2-0) clay Umag 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) clay Bastad 112 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-1) clay Bastad 160 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (2-0) clay Bastad 147 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Carlos Taberner
vs
0
Jesper de Jong
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Umag tournament in Croatia, Carlos Taberner faces Jesper de Jong on clay. The predicted winner is Jesper de Jong, with a winning probability of 67.95% compared to Carlos Taberner's 32.05%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Both players are closely ranked, with Taberner at 107 and de Jong at 106. Jesper de Jong holds a significant advantage in terms of form, boasting a form index of 63.47 compared to Taberner's 40.93. This disparity indicates that de Jong is currently in better competitive shape. When it comes to Elo ratings, de Jong also leads with a score of 864.40 against Taberner's 440.21, showcasing a clear difference in performance consistency. Notably, de Jong has lower cumulative fatigue at 179 minutes compared to Taberner's 315 minutes, which may impact Taberner's endurance during the match. On clay, de Jong's surface strength index of 7.93 is significantly higher than Taberner's 4.38, further emphasizing de Jong's proficiency on this playing surface. In their recent performances, Jesper de Jong has been dominant, winning his last three matches in straight sets, including a convincing victory against Mariano Navone in the last round, which lasted only 96 minutes. In contrast, Carlos Taberner has experienced a mix of results, securing two wins but also suffering a loss in his last three matches, including a tougher encounter against Francisco Cerundolo that lasted 200 minutes.

Final Prediction

Jesper de Jong's combination of form, lower fatigue, and superior clay performance give him a distinct advantage heading into this quarterfinal clash. A key factor to observe will be how effectively Taberner can manage his fatigue and maintain his performance against de Jong's strong serving and consistent returns.