Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Finals

Carlos Taberner vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Carlos Taberner

Rank: #107
44%
VS

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #55
56%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Luciano Darderi

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Player Metrics

Carlos Taberner

Form Index: 54.3
ELO Rating: 532.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1535.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 505.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.6
Clay: 5.2
Grass: 2.2
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 88.3

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 69.2
ELO Rating: 1241.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1618.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 325.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 10.9
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Carlos Taberner

Luciano Darderi

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Carlos Taberner
vs
0
Luciano Darderi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The final match at the Umag tournament in Croatia features Carlos Taberner against Luciano Darderi on clay. With a predicted total of 23 games, Darderi is favored to win with a probability of 56.02%, while Taberner holds a slightly lower probability of 43.98%.

Match Analysis

Carlos Taberner currently ranks 107th, with a form index of 54.31 and an Elo rating of 532.57. His cumulative fatigue stands at 505 minutes, indicating that he has spent considerable time on the court during the tournament. On clay, Taberner has a surface strength index of 5.16, and his mean serve index is 94.76, while his mean return index is 88.32. In comparison, Luciano Darderi, ranked 55th, boasts a higher form index of 69.23 and an Elo rating of 1241.04. His fatigue level is lower at 325 minutes, and he shows superior performance on clay with a surface strength index of 10.94. Darderi also has a slightly higher mean serve index of 95.44 and a lower mean return index of 85.98, though the difference in serve ability is marginal. In their recent performances, both players have been in good form. Taberner has won his last three matches at the Umag tournament without dropping a set, indicating strong momentum. Darderi has also been impressive, winning his last three matches, with one of them going to three sets against Dino Prizmic. This showcases his resilience and ability to fight through tougher scenarios.

Final Prediction

Luciano Darderi's combination of a higher ranking, better form index, and lower fatigue gives him a notable edge in this final match. A key factor to observe will be how each player manages their stamina, especially in the early exchanges, as fatigue could influence their performance on this demanding clay surface.

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