Coleman Wong vs Jenson Brooksby: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for Brooksby comes mainly from recent form, with secondary gains from surface fit and recent record at similar levels. Brooksby’s higher form index (46.53 vs Wong’s 27.56) and his straight-sets win over Corentin Moutet at this event underpin that reading; Wong has a tournament win as well but arrives with a weaker rolling form and two earlier grass defeats. Surface-fit and recent-level record also tilt toward Brooksby: his Elo (1603) and world ranking (77) sit ahead of Wong’s Elo (1521) and rank (108), suggesting better performance against the quality he’s faced recently despite both players showing modest surface strength indexes (Brooksby 19.39, Wong 20.36). Serve and return numbers are close: Wong has a slightly higher mean serve index (96.55) and Brooksby a marginally better return index (88.09 vs 86.95), but neither gap exceeds five points, so serve advantage is limited. Fatigue is a factor — Brooksby has logged 113 minutes in this tournament compared with Wong’s 69 — which could blunt Brooksby’s upside late in rallies. Over their last three matches, Brooksby’s sequence is win (Los Cabos), loss to a top player at Wimbledon, and a previous win; Wong’s is a recent hard-court win bookended by two grass losses.