Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Fabio Fognini vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Fabio Fognini

Rank: #117
25%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #91
75%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

Player Metrics

Fabio Fognini

Form Index: 16.4
ELO Rating: 544.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.1
Clay: 5.4
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 88.6

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 52.3
ELO Rating: 1069.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 89.0

Recent Matches

Fabio Fognini

  • Last Match: vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (0-2) clay Rome 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (0-2) clay Madrid 67 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (2-1) clay Madrid 168 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Ritschard (2-0) clay Madrid 91 min

Corentin Moutet

  • Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Clement Tabur (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jack Draper (1-2) clay Rome 140 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Holger Rune (2-1) clay Rome 224 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) clay Rome 69 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Fabio Fognini
vs
0
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Fabio Fognini and Corentin Moutet in the Round of 32 at the Stuttgart tournament promises to be an intriguing matchup on grass. Moutet enters as the clear favorite, with a 74.53% probability of victory compared to Fognini's 25.47%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Fabio Fognini, currently ranked 117, has struggled for form with a low form index of 16.39 and an Elo rating of 544.80. His surface strength index on grass is slightly below average at 6.63, indicating limited effectiveness on this surface. Moutet, positioned at 91 in the rankings, boasts a much stronger form index of 52.35 and an Elo rating of 1069.45, demonstrating a significant performance advantage. Both players have a similar surface strength index at around 6.63, but Moutet's superior overall ranking and form suggest he is more adaptable to the current conditions. Notably, Fognini has a higher mean serve index (96.72) compared to Moutet (95.04), but Moutet's mean return index (88.96) slightly eclipses Fognini's (88.61), indicating a better return game. In their recent performances, Fognini has not won a match in his last three outings, suffering defeats at Roland Garros and Rome, all on clay surfaces. His inability to secure a set in these matches showcases his current struggles. Conversely, Moutet's record is mixed, with a win against Clement Tabur followed by a loss to Novak Djokovic, where he was unable to take a set. Despite his recent loss, Moutet’s victory suggests a more competitive edge going into this match.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet holds the edge in this matchup due to his superior form, recent performances, and higher Elo rating, indicating a greater likelihood of success. A key factor to monitor during the match will be Moutet's return game, as his ability to break Fognini's serve could prove pivotal in securing his advancement in the tournament.