Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Dalibor Svrcina vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Dalibor Svrcina

Rank: #99
24%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #19
76%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

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Player Metrics

Dalibor Svrcina

Form Index: 41.2
ELO Rating: 447.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1537.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 395.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.1
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 2.2
Serve Rating: 93.9
Return Rating: 88.5

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 78.7
ELO Rating: 1852.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1752.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 133.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.3

Recent Matches

Dalibor Svrcina

Alexander Bublik

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Dalibor Svrcina
vs
0
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinals of the ATP 250 tournament in Hangzhou, China, sees Dalibor Svrcina face off against Alexander Bublik on hard courts. Bublik is predicted to emerge victorious, with a probability of 76.08% compared to Svrcina's 23.92%. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 22 games.

Match Analysis

Dalibor Svrcina currently holds a rank of 99 with a form index of 41.16, indicating a struggle to maintain consistency. His Elo rating of 447.20 suggests he is still finding his footing on the professional stage. Additionally, Svrcina's fatigue level stands at 395 minutes, which could impact his performance. His surface strength index at 4.10 and mean serve index of 93.88 are decent but indicate he may struggle against stronger opponents. Notably, his mean return index of 88.54 is competitive but does not offer a significant edge over Bublik. In contrast, Alexander Bublik holds a rank of 19, showcasing his higher skill level and recent form index of 78.74, reflecting strong recent performances. His Elo rating of 1852.32 further emphasizes his status as a formidable competitor. Bublik's fatigue is considerably lower at 133 minutes, suggesting he is in better physical condition. His surface strength index of 10.79 and mean serve index of 95.52 provide him a notable advantage, especially since the difference in mean serve index exceeds 5 points. Moreover, his mean return index of 86.28 indicates solid returning capabilities, although it is slightly lower than Svrcina's.

Final Prediction

The predicted winner, Alexander Bublik, possesses a significant edge due to his higher ranking, better current form, and notably stronger serve. His lower fatigue level also positions him favorably in a quarterfinal match. A key factor to monitor during the match will be Bublik's ability to capitalize on his serve, as this could dictate the tempo and momentum of the game.

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