Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Matteo Berrettini vs Dalibor Svrcina Prediction

Matteo Berrettini

Rank: #57
82%
VS

Dalibor Svrcina

Rank: #99
18%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Matteo Berrettini

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Ranking Trends

Matteo Berrettini

  • Current #57 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #34 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #30 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #34 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #43 2024-09-16

Dalibor Svrcina

  • Current #99 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #124 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #165 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #225 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #279 2024-09-16

Player Metrics

Matteo Berrettini

Form Index: 26.1
ELO Rating: 1577.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1608.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.8
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 84.8

Dalibor Svrcina

Form Index: 32.8
ELO Rating: 279.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1526.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 218.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.7
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 2.4
Serve Rating: 92.3
Return Rating: 88.8

Recent Matches

Matteo Berrettini
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Dalibor Svrcina
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Matteo Berrettini
vs
0
Dalibor Svrcina
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Matteo Berrettini and Dalibor Svrcina is set to take place in Hangzhou, China, during the round of 32 on a hard court surface. With a high probability of 81.76%, Matteo Berrettini is favored to win, while Dalibor Svrcina's chances stand at 18.24%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated to be 22.

Match Analysis

Matteo Berrettini currently holds a rank of 57, with a form index of 26.14 and an Elo rating of 1577.02, indicating a solid competitive level despite recent struggles. He has no cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, which suggests he is well-rested and prepared. His surface strength index is notably high at 13.82, alongside a mean serve index of 98.28, which is significantly superior to Svrcina's 92.30. Additionally, Berrettini's mean return index of 84.78 also surpasses Svrcina's 88.80, though the difference is less than 5 points. In contrast, Dalibor Svrcina, ranked 99, has a higher form index of 32.75 but a significantly lower Elo rating of 279.13. His cumulative fatigue of 218 minutes indicates he may be feeling the effects of prior matches. Recent performances show Svrcina winning only one of his last three matches, with a loss to Giulio Zeppieri in his latest outing. Prior to that, he achieved a victory against Timofey Skatov but struggled against Daniel Merida at the US Open.

Final Prediction

Matteo Berrettini's edge primarily stems from his superior serving capabilities and lack of fatigue, positioning him well for this match. The key factor to monitor will be how effectively Berrettini can leverage his serve against Svrcina's return game, which may ultimately dictate the flow and outcome of the match.

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