Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Ben Shelton vs David Goffin Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #6
66%
VS

David Goffin

Rank: #87
34%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

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Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 67.7
ELO Rating: 1813.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1755.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.9
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 15.7
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 84.6

David Goffin

Form Index: 47.1
ELO Rating: 920.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1544.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 126.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.7
Clay: 8.6
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 89.1

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton

David Goffin

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ben Shelton
vs
1
David Goffin
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at the Shanghai Masters 1000 between Ben Shelton and David Goffin marks a critical phase in the Round of 64 on hard courts. With Shelton ranked 6th and boasting a strong form index, he is favored to win with a probability of 65.62%. Goffin, currently ranked 87th, has a 34.38% chance of victory, with a predicted total of 23 games expected to be played.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton brings impressive statistics into this match, holding a form index of 67.65 and an Elo rating of 1813.29. His surface strength index stands at 14.89, indicating solid performance on hard courts. Additionally, Shelton's mean serve index of 97.87 significantly outclasses Goffin's mean serve index of 95.17, presenting a difference of over 5 points which could be pivotal in crucial moments. His mean return index of 84.56 also gives him an advantage over Goffin's 89.12, though the gap is not as pronounced here. On the other hand, David Goffin’s form index is considerably lower at 47.15, and his Elo rating of 920.91 suggests he is currently struggling to compete at his best level. Notably, Goffin's cumulative fatigue of 126 minutes from the ongoing tournament could impact his stamina during the match. In his recent outings, Goffin has shown resilience with victories in two of his last three matches, including a win against Alexandre Muller in Shanghai. However, the contrasting form and recent performance of Shelton, who has won his last three hard-court matches, highlights the challenges Goffin will face.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton's superior ranking, recent form, and statistical advantages, particularly in serving, provide him with a clear edge heading into this match. Key factors to watch include Shelton's ability to maintain his strong serve against Goffin's return game, especially considering Goffin's fatigue levels.

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