Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Denis Shapovalov vs Pedro Martinez Prediction

Denis Shapovalov

Rank: #28
58%
VS

Pedro Martinez

Rank: #49
42%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Denis Shapovalov

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Ranking Trends

Denis Shapovalov

  • Current #28 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #32 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #56 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #105 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #118 2024-05-27

Pedro Martinez

  • Current #49 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #36 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #41 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #43 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #48 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Denis Shapovalov

Form Index: 22.6
ELO Rating: 1197.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1589.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.3
Clay: 7.7
Grass: 9.2
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 85.8

Pedro Martinez

Form Index: 28.0
ELO Rating: 1109.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1555.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.9
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Denis Shapovalov
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Vilius Gaubas (0-2) clay Rome 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) clay Madrid 89 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Kei Nishikori (2-0) clay Madrid 64 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Diego Dedura (0-2) clay Munich 63 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Marcos Giron (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 108 min

Pedro Martinez
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Denis Shapovalov
vs
0
Pedro Martinez
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Denis Shapovalov and Pedro Martinez takes place in the Round of 128 at Roland Garros, one of the most prestigious Grand Slam tournaments, held on clay courts in France. The predicted winner is Denis Shapovalov, with a probability of winning set at 58.03%, compared to Pedro Martinez's 41.97%. The anticipated total number of games played is 36.0.

Match Analysis

Denis Shapovalov, currently ranked 28, boasts a form index of 22.59 and an Elo rating of 1197.80. His surface strength index stands at 7.67, indicating a solid performance on clay. In contrast, Pedro Martinez ranks 49 with a higher form index of 27.96 and an Elo rating of 1109.32. Martinez's surface strength index of 9.40 suggests he is more adept on clay than Shapovalov. A notable difference lies in their mean serve index: Shapovalov's 97.55 exceeds Martinez's 94.93 by more than 5 points. However, the mean return index shows Shapovalov at 85.81, slightly trailing Martinez's 88.67. Reviewing their recent performances, Shapovalov has struggled in his last three matches, winning only against Kei Nishikori while losing to both Alex de Minaur and Vilius Gaubas. His two losses were in straight sets, revealing potential vulnerabilities. On the other hand, Pedro Martinez also faced challenges, winning only against Mattia Bellucci but losing his last two matches against Francisco Cerundolo and Hubert Hurkacz, similarly in straight sets.

Final Prediction

Denis Shapovalov holds the edge due to his superior serve capability, which could be crucial in a closely contested match. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Shapovalov's serve against Martinez's return game, as it could significantly influence the match's outcome.

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