Los Cabos Mexico Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Tristan Schoolkate vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction

Tristan Schoolkate

Rank: #104
35%
VS

Denis Shapovalov

Rank: #30
65%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Denis Shapovalov

Player Metrics

Tristan Schoolkate

Form Index: 51.5
ELO Rating: 493.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1536.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 198.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.9
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 3.3
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 85.4

Denis Shapovalov

Form Index: 37.3
ELO Rating: 1117.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1584.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 60.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.3
Clay: 7.6
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Tristan Schoolkate

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) hard Los Cabos 77 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (2-1) hard Los Cabos 121 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Benjamin Hassan (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Facundo Diaz Acosta (2-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Denis Shapovalov

  • Last Match: vs Govind Nanda (2-0) hard Los Cabos 60 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (1-2) grass Halle 153 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-1) grass Halle 148 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (1-2) grass Stuttgart 102 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tristan Schoolkate
vs
0
Denis Shapovalov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Los Cabos tournament, set against the backdrop of Mexico's hard courts, Tristan Schoolkate is set to face Denis Shapovalov. The match carries significant weight in the ATP 250 series, with Shapovalov predicted to win with a 65% probability, while Schoolkate stands at 35%. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.

Match Analysis

Tristan Schoolkate, currently ranked 104, comes into this match with a form index of 51.47 and an Elo rating of 493.72. His cumulative fatigue level is notably high at 198 minutes, which may impact his performance. Schoolkate's surface strength index is 4.88, indicating he is still developing on hard courts. His mean serve index of 96.81 and mean return index of 85.37 suggest a solid but not overpowering game. On the other hand, Denis Shapovalov, ranked 30, boasts a stronger form index of 37.31 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1117.15, reflecting his more experienced play. With a lower fatigue level of just 60 minutes, Shapovalov appears fresher for this matchup. His surface strength index is more than double that of Schoolkate at 14.27. Additionally, Shapovalov's mean serve index of 95.72 and mean return index of 85.96 show a slight edge in both serving and returning capabilities, although the differences are marginal. In their recent performances, Schoolkate has shown resilience by winning his last two matches in Los Cabos without dropping a set, while Shapovalov won his last match convincingly but faced challenges in prior tournaments, losing both before reaching this stage.

Final Prediction

Shapovalov’s higher ranking and experience, combined with his lower fatigue level, provide him with a distinct advantage going into this match. One key factor to watch will be how effectively Schoolkate can handle Shapovalov’s serve, as this may dictate the flow of the match.