Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 64

Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Marcos Giron: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Rank: #400
35%
VS

Marcos Giron

Rank: #83
65%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Marcos Giron

Why the Model Favors Marcos Giron

The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.

Overall strength +8.8 Marcos Giron
Recent record by level +7.5 Marcos Giron
Serve & return game +6.1 Dhakshineswar Suresh
Surface fit +2.8 Marcos Giron
Overall record & opposition quality +2.8 Marcos Giron

Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 65% for Marcos Giron. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

Also available in Claude and Perplexity. Query these predictions in plain language: our native connector lets your AI assistant call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Player Metrics

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Form Index: 41.1
ELO Rating: 1501.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1524.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 247.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.1
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 4.5
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 85.2

Marcos Giron

Form Index: 36.4
ELO Rating: 1566.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1630.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.7
Clay: 8.6
Grass: 16.3
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Dhakshineswar Suresh

  • Last Match: vs Abdullah Shelbayh (1-2) hard Winston Salem 110 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roger Pascual Ferra (2-1) hard Winston Salem 137 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (0-2) hard Winston Salem 79 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alejandro Tabilo (2-1) hard Winston Salem 124 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Aidan Mayo (2-0) hard Winston Salem 73 min

Marcos Giron

  • Last Match: vs Henrique Rocha (0-2) hard Cincinnati 103 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hubert Hurkacz (1-2) hard Toronto 113 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz (2-1) hard Toronto 117 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Cruz Hewitt (0-2) hard Washington 73 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Andre Ilagan (2-0) hard Washington 100 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Dhakshineswar Suresh
vs
0
Marcos Giron
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

Winston Salem, NC. Round of 64 on hard courts at an ATP 250 event. The model favors Marcos Giron to win, with Giron at 64.70% and Dhakshineswar Suresh at 35.30%. The match is projected to be relatively short, with an expected total of 24.01 games.

Match Analysis

The model’s edge for Giron is driven chiefly by overall strength and recent performance at level. Overall strength contributes 8.8 percentage points toward Giron, and recent record by level adds 7.5 points. Those advantages are reflected in Giron’s higher Elo of 1565.97 versus Suresh’s 1500.97, and Giron’s deeper ranking position at 83 compared with Suresh at 400. Surface fit and quality of prior opposition also nudge the prediction toward Giron, each adding 2.8 points. Suresh offsets some of that gap through serve and return metrics, which contribute 6.1 percentage points in his favor. Suresh posts a mean serve index of 97.96 and a mean return index of 85.18. Giron’s mean serve index is 95.82 and his mean return index is 87.12. Fatigue is a factor. Suresh arrives having logged 247 minutes already in Winston Salem, while Giron has no minutes recorded in this event. Surface strength indices are modest for both players, 11.15 for Suresh and 13.67 for Giron, which lines up with a neutral hard court fit for each. Recent form for Suresh reads one win and two losses in his last three matches at this venue, including a three set win over Roger Pascual Ferra and a three set loss to Abdullah Shelbayh. Giron is 1-2 over his last three matches, with a hard court win over Pablo Llamas Ruiz and back-to-back losses to tougher opponents at Toronto and Cincinnati.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 24.0 Most likely outcome: 23 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Probability distribution chart for total games in Dhakshineswar Suresh versus Marcos Giron. The X-axis shows possible total games values and the Y-axis shows the predicted probability percentage for each outcome.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total games in Dhakshineswar Suresh versus Marcos Giron. The curve rises from 0% to 100%, showing the cumulative probability for each games total threshold.

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Dhakshineswar Suresh - Marcos Giron) -2.2 Most likely spread: -3 (Marcos Giron wins 3 more games)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Probability distribution chart for games spread in Dhakshineswar Suresh versus Marcos Giron. Positive values indicate Dhakshineswar Suresh winning more games, negative values indicate Marcos Giron winning more games.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for games spread in Dhakshineswar Suresh versus Marcos Giron. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each spread threshold.

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction calls for 11.25 total aces in the match, with predicted aces split as 6.10 for Suresh and 5.27 for Giron. The double faults prediction is 5.22 expected double faults overall, with 2.75 for Suresh and 2.48 for Giron. On a medium paced hard court, this level of aces fits expectations, offering more opportunities than clay but fewer than grass.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 11.2 Most likely: 9 aces Per player: Dhakshineswar Suresh 6.1 + Marcos Giron 5.3
Expected Total Double Faults 5.2 Most likely: 4 double faults Per player: Dhakshineswar Suresh 2.8 + Marcos Giron 2.5

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Probability distribution chart for total aces in Dhakshineswar Suresh versus Marcos Giron. Higher ace counts are more likely on faster surfaces like grass.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total aces in Dhakshineswar Suresh versus Marcos Giron. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each aces threshold.

🎯 Aces by Player

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Expected 6.1 aces

Probability distribution for the aces Dhakshineswar Suresh serves in this match.
Marcos Giron

Expected 5.3 aces

Probability distribution for the aces Marcos Giron serves in this match.

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Probability distribution chart for double faults in Dhakshineswar Suresh versus Marcos Giron. The chart shows the predicted probability for each double-fault count.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for double faults in Dhakshineswar Suresh versus Marcos Giron. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each double faults threshold.

Double Faults by Player

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Expected 2.8 double faults

Probability distribution for the double faults Dhakshineswar Suresh serves in this match.
Marcos Giron

Expected 2.5 double faults

Probability distribution for the double faults Marcos Giron serves in this match.

🎯 Match Format Predictions

Tiebreak Likelihood

Probability that any tiebreak is played in this match

49.3% Predicted: No tiebreak

Exact Score Distribution BO3

Probability of each set-by-set outcome (Dhakshineswar Suresh's perspective)

0-2 Most likely set score (46.9%)
Probability distribution of the final set score from Dhakshineswar Suresh's perspective. Format: BO3.

Final Prediction

Giron’s edge stems mainly from overall strength and stronger results against higher level opposition. Watch fatigue and serving accuracy early in the match, since Suresh’s accumulated minutes and his serve and return profile could decide how competitive the match becomes.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel