Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Fabian Marozsan vs Gael Monfils Prediction

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #53
53%
VS

Gael Monfils

Rank: #69
47%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Fabian Marozsan

Player Metrics

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 27.2
ELO Rating: 913.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1594.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 27.2
Clay: 27.4
Grass: 22.9
Serve Rating: 55.9
Return Rating: 53.5

Gael Monfils

Form Index: 12.9
ELO Rating: 800.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 33.2
Clay: 20.9
Grass: 22.6
Serve Rating: 97.6
Return Rating: 93.7

Recent Matches

Fabian Marozsan

  • Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (0-2) hard Hong Kong 74 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) hard Paris 126 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Almaty 66 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Almaty 79 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (2-0) hard Almaty 80 min

Gael Monfils

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (1-2) hard Chengdu 108 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tomas Barrios Vera (1-2) hard Toronto 166 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yibing Wu (0-2) hard Washington 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Fabian Marozsan
vs
2
Gael Monfils
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Auckland tournament, Fabian Marozsan will face Gael Monfils on hard court. The match is expected to be competitive, with Marozsan predicted to win with a probability of 53.22% against Monfils' 46.78%. The anticipated total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Fabian Marozsan, currently ranked 53, has a form index of 27.22 and an Elo rating of approximately 913.26. His performance on hard surfaces has been respectable with a surface strength index of 27.16. Notably, Marozsan’s mean serve index is 55.87, while his mean return index is 53.48. In contrast, Gael Monfils, ranked 69, has a form index of 12.89 and an Elo rating of 800.00. His surface strength index is notably higher at 33.18, suggesting better overall performance on hard courts. Monfils boasts a mean serve index of 97.57 and a mean return index of 93.69, highlighting a significant edge in serving compared to Marozsan, with a difference exceeding 40 points. In their recent performances, both players have struggled, with Marozsan losing all of his last three matches, including defeats against formidable opponents such as Daniil Medvedev and Yibing Wu. Monfils has also faced challenges, losing his last three matches, including a close contest against Alexander Shevchenko. Despite their recent form, Monfils has shown some resilience in individual sets, which could play a crucial role in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Fabian Marozsan’s slight edge in the prediction stems from a marginally better win probability despite both players’ recent struggles. However, Monfils' overwhelming advantage in serving capabilities could significantly influence the match's outcome, making it crucial to observe how well Marozsan can handle Monfils’ powerful serve during the game.