Brussels Brussels Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Federico Cina vs Jaume Munar Prediction

Federico Cina

Rank: #147
32%
VS

Jaume Munar

Rank: #49
68%
Expected Total Games: 26.0
Predicted Winner: Jaume Munar

Why the Model Favors Jaume Munar

The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.

Recent form +5.5 Jaume Munar
Recent record by level +5.3 Jaume Munar
Age +4.0 Federico Cina
Overall strength +3.9 Jaume Munar
Surface fit +2.5 Jaume Munar

Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 68% for Jaume Munar. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

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Ranking Trends

Federico Cina

  • Current #147 2026-10-05
  • 3 mo ago #184 2026-07-20
  • 6 mo ago #205 2026-04-20
  • 9 mo ago #237 2026-01-19
  • 12 mo ago #227 2025-10-20

Jaume Munar

  • Current #49 2026-10-05
  • 3 mo ago #43 2026-07-20
  • 6 mo ago #38 2026-04-20
  • 9 mo ago #39 2026-01-19
  • 12 mo ago #42 2025-10-20

Player Metrics

Federico Cina

Form Index: 56.1
ELO Rating: 1645.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1617.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 250.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 20.3
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 88.5

Jaume Munar

Form Index: 39.0
ELO Rating: 1708.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1729.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 33.6
Clay: 15.9
Grass: 20.2
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 88.3

Recent Matches

Federico Cina
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Remy Bertola (2-1) hard Brussels 152 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Joel Schwaerzler (2-0) hard Brussels 98 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Molcan (1-2) hard Shanghai 107 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aziz Dougaz (2-1) hard Shanghai 129 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Linang Xiao (2-1) hard Shanghai 118 min

Jaume Munar
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Federico Cina
vs
0
Jaume Munar
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

Jaume Munar is favored, with a 68% win probability to Federico Cina’s 32%, and the match is projected to feature 26.0 games. Their Round of 32 meeting in Brussels gives Cina a chance to build on two recent hard-court wins, but the forecast favors Munar’s higher level and surface fit.

Match Analysis

Munar is ranked 49th, compared with Cina at 147th, and has the stronger hard-court profile. Their serve and return indicators are close, so the difference is less about a major advantage in one department and more about Munar’s stronger overall standing and results by level. Cina has won his last two matches in Brussels, against Joel Schwaerzler and Remy Bertola. The model’s recent-form and level comparisons still favor Munar, though Cina’s results give him momentum. He has also played 250 minutes at this tournament, while Munar has yet to spend time on court here.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 26.0 Most likely outcome: 25 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Federico Cina - Jaume Munar) -2.2 Most likely spread: -3 (Jaume Munar wins 3 more games)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

Cina is projected for 4.5 aces and Munar for 5.6, with hard-court conditions and their similar serve profiles pointing to a fairly close count. Cina is expected to make 2.6 double faults and Munar 3.1.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 10.0 Most likely: 8 aces Per player: Federico Cina 4.5 + Jaume Munar 5.6
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 5.6 Most likely: 4 double faults Per player: Federico Cina 2.6 + Jaume Munar 3.0

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

🎯 Aces by Player

Federico Cina

Expected 4.5 aces

Jaume Munar

Expected 5.6 aces

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

❌ Double Faults by Player

Federico Cina

Expected 2.6 double faults

Jaume Munar

Expected 3.0 double faults

Match Format Predictions

Tiebreak Likelihood

Probability that any tiebreak is played in this match

39.1% Predicted: No tiebreak

Exact Score Distribution BO3

Probability of each set-by-set outcome (Federico Cina's perspective)

0-2 Most likely set score (45.8%)
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Cina’s best chance to overturn the forecast is to sustain the level he showed in his two Brussels wins. Doing so after a heavy tournament workload will be the challenge.

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