Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Rank: #60
47%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #28
53%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranking Trends

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

  • Current Rank: #60 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #51 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #40 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #39 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #37 (2024-08-12)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current Rank: #28 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #27 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #23 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #28 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #19 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Form Index: 45.4
ELO Rating: 1102.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1604.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 219.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.5
Clay: 9.6
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 87.0

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 40.6
ELO Rating: 1315.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1661.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.9
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Juncheng Shang (2-1) hard Cincinnati 219 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) hard Toronto 109 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) hard Toronto 119 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-1) hard Toronto 138 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Filip Misolic (1-2) clay Kitzbuhel 162 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) hard Toronto 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs James Duckworth (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (0-2) grass Mallorca 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-1) grass Mallorca 129 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament, Tomas Martin Etcheverry faces Felix Auger-Aliassime on hard court in Ohio. The predicted winner is Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a probability of winning set at 52.68%, while Etcheverry has a 47.32% chance. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total number of 23 games to be played.

Match Analysis

Both players present a strong competitive profile, with Auger-Aliassime ranked 28th and Etcheverry at 60th. Auger-Aliassime boasts a higher Elo rating of 1315.41 compared to Etcheverry's 1102.14, highlighting his experience and performance level. Fatigue could play a role; Etcheverry comes into this match with 219 minutes of cumulative fatigue from the current tournament, while Auger-Aliassime has yet to spend any time on court in this tournament. This could give Auger-Aliassime a significant physical advantage. On the technical side, Auger-Aliassime has a slightly better surface strength index at 11.90 compared to Etcheverry's 10.52. Additionally, the mean serve index for Etcheverry is 97.24, which is marginally better than Auger-Aliassime's 96.17. However, the difference in the mean return index is notable, with Etcheverry at 87.02 and Auger-Aliassime at 85.63, suggesting that Etcheverry may excel in returning serves. Reviewing their recent performances, Etcheverry won his last match against Juncheng Shang, while Auger-Aliassime has faced challenges recently, losing his last two matches.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime has the edge due to his higher ranking, Elo rating, and reduced fatigue levels, which are crucial factors in a competitive match setting. A key element to observe will be how both players manage their serves, particularly in terms of pressure and return effectiveness throughout the match.

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