Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Filip Misolic vs Nuno Borges Prediction

Filip Misolic

Rank: #111
38%
VS

Nuno Borges

Rank: #37
62%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Nuno Borges

Player Metrics

Filip Misolic

Form Index: 69.2
ELO Rating: 637.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1595.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 328.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.2
Clay: 6.0
Grass: 2.3
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 88.4

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 65.0
ELO Rating: 1373.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1609.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 11.8
Grass: 10.5
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Filip Misolic

  • Last Match: vs Elmer Moller (2-1) clay Bastad 161 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Olle Wallin (2-0) clay Bastad 74 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Radu Albot (2-0) clay Bastad 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Benjamin Hassan (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Nuno Borges

  • Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Billy Harris (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (0-2) grass Eastbourne 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jack Pinnington Jones (2-1) grass Eastbourne 121 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Filip Misolic
vs
0
Nuno Borges
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Bastad tournament in Sweden features Filip Misolic and Nuno Borges competing on clay. With a predicted winner of Nuno Borges, the probability of him winning stands at 61.83%, while Filip Misolic has a 38.17% chance. The predicted total number of games played is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Filip Misolic, ranked 111, has a form index of 69.23 and an Elo rating of 637.13. His cumulative fatigue of 328 minutes indicates he has already exerted considerable energy in this tournament. His surface strength index is relatively low at 5.96, which could be a disadvantage against a more seasoned opponent. In contrast, Nuno Borges, ranked 37, possesses a form index of 64.98 and an Elo rating of 1373.11, indicating a higher overall performance level. Borges has not experienced any fatigue yet, demonstrating readiness for the challenge. His surface strength index of 11.81 suggests he is more adept on clay than Misolic. The difference in their mean serve index is slight, with Borges at 95.04 and Misolic at 94.44, but Borges has a marginally better return index of 87.34 compared to Misolic’s 88.36. In their recent performances, Misolic has emerged victorious in all three of his last matches at Bastad, demonstrating resilience and a strong adaptation to the clay surface. His most recent match against Elmer Moller was a hard-fought encounter that went to three sets. Conversely, Borges faced challenges at Wimbledon, losing his last match against Karen Khachanov but winning two prior matches against lower-ranked opponents. The difference in their recent match environments could play a crucial role, as Misolic is in a groove on clay, while Borges has struggled with consistency on grass.

Final Prediction

Nuno Borges holds the edge due to his superior ranking, lower fatigue, and stronger clay surface capabilities. A key factor to watch will be how both players handle their service games, particularly if Borges can leverage his slight advantage in return capabilities to break Misolic's serve effectively.