Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 32

Vitaliy Sachko vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Vitaliy Sachko

Rank: #254
28%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #34
72%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

Player Metrics

Vitaliy Sachko

Form Index: 27.9
ELO Rating: 133.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1536.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 138.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 1.6
Clay: 0.9
Grass: 0.9
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 85.1

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 35.9
ELO Rating: 1180.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1565.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 11.4
Grass: 12.2
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 88.1

Recent Matches

Vitaliy Sachko

  • Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (0-2) clay Hamburg 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Denis Yevseyev (2-0) clay Hamburg 72 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lukas Klein (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 82 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Felipe Meligeni Alves (1-2) clay Hamburg 134 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Mikhail Kukushkin (0-2) grass Wimbledon 74 min

Flavio Cobolli

  • Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (0-2) clay Rome 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) clay Madrid 102 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (1-0) clay Madrid 43 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) clay Madrid 115 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (1-2) clay Munich 157 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Vitaliy Sachko
vs
0
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Vitaliy Sachko and Flavio Cobolli at the Hamburg tournament marks an intriguing clash in the Round of 32 on clay. Cobolli enters the match as the predicted winner with a probability of 72.43%, compared to Sachko's 27.57%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 21.

Match Analysis

Vitaliy Sachko currently holds a rank of 254, with a form index of 27.85 and an Elo rating of 133.30. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 138 minutes, which may impact his performance. Conversely, Flavio Cobolli, ranked 34, has a much higher form index of 35.86 and an Elo rating of 1180.50. Importantly, Cobolli's fatigue is currently at 0 minutes, indicating he is fresh and ready to compete. The surface strength index also favors Cobolli, who has a score of 11.40 compared to Sachko's 0.92. Notably, Cobolli's mean serve index (95.82) is slightly stronger than Sachko's (95.41), and his mean return index (88.14) surpasses Sachko's (85.09), although the differences are marginal. In their recent performances, Sachko has struggled, winning only 1 out of his last 3 matches, with a disappointing loss to Aleksandar Kovacevic in his last outing. Cobolli, on the other hand, has also faced challenges but managed to secure a win against Holger Rune in their last 3 matches, showcasing his potential despite mixed results. Both players have shown resilience, but Cobolli’s recent victory provides him with a psychological edge going into this match.

Final Prediction

Flavio Cobolli's superior ranking, better form index, and lack of fatigue give him a significant advantage in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be Cobolli's ability to capitalize on Sachko's fatigue and pressure him with his strong serve and return game.