Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #21
45%
VS

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #34
55%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alex Michelsen

Player Metrics

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 30.6
ELO Rating: 1268.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1694.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.9
Clay: 12.4
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 89.4

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 48.3
ELO Rating: 1113.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1602.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.7
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (0-2) hard Shanghai 130 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) hard Shanghai 143 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (1-2) hard Beijing 135 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Leandro Riedi (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Toronto 51 min

Alex Michelsen

  • Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Almaty 132 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Shintaro Mochizuki (2-1) hard Almaty 124 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Almaty 59 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Beibit Zhukayev (2-0) hard Almaty 72 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) hard Shanghai 106 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Francisco Cerundolo
vs
1
Alex Michelsen
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the ATP 500 tournament in Vienna, Francisco Cerundolo faces off against Alex Michelsen on hard courts. The match promises to be competitive, with Michelsen predicted to emerge victorious, holding a 54.79% probability of winning compared to Cerundolo's 45.21%. The expected total number of games played in this encounter is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Cerundolo, currently ranked 21, boasts a form index of 30.61 and an Elo rating of 1268.11. His surface strength index stands at 11.92, indicating a solid performance capability on hard courts. In contrast, Michelsen is ranked 34 with a higher form index of 48.31 and a lower Elo rating of 1113.42. Though Michelsen’s surface strength index is slightly lower at 9.60, he has shown resilience in recent matches. Notably, Cerundolo's mean serve index of 96.91 slightly edges out Michelsen's 95.85, but the difference is marginal. Both players exhibit comparable return indices, with Cerundolo at 89.39 and Michelsen at 88.50, a difference of less than 5 points. In their last three matches, Cerundolo has experienced mixed results, winning once against Adrian Mannarino, while losing to Zizou Bergs and Learner Tien. His performances indicate some inconsistency, particularly after his recent loss. Michelsen, on the other hand, similarly faced a setback against Corentin Moutet but secured a win against Shintaro Mochizuki and Aleksandar Vukic prior to that. This recent form may provide Michelsen with a psychological edge going into the match.

Final Prediction

Michelsen's slight advantage in form and recent match outcomes suggests he may have the upper hand against Cerundolo. The key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of each player's serve, as the match could hinge on their ability to capitalize on service games and minimize unforced errors.