S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Round of 16

Jordan Thompson vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

Jordan Thompson

Rank: #37
50%
VS

Gabriel Diallo

Rank: #55
50%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Gabriel Diallo

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Ranking Trends

Jordan Thompson

  • Current #37 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #38 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #26 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #29 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #37 2024-06-10

Gabriel Diallo

  • Current #55 2025-06-09
  • 3 mo ago #88 2025-03-03
  • 6 mo ago #87 2024-12-09
  • 9 mo ago #103 2024-09-09
  • 12 mo ago #165 2024-06-10

Player Metrics

Jordan Thompson

Form Index: 37.8
ELO Rating: 1520.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1596.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 80.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.2
Clay: 11.7
Grass: 14.9
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 87.2

Gabriel Diallo

Form Index: 51.6
ELO Rating: 1036.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1578.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 92.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.3
Clay: 8.0
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Jordan Thompson
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Gabriel Diallo
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jordan Thompson
vs
0
Gabriel Diallo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the s-Hertogenbosch tournament held on grass, Jordan Thompson faces Gabriel Diallo. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Diallo slightly favored to win at a probability of 50.42%, compared to Thompson’s 49.58%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 24.

Match Analysis

Jordan Thompson, currently ranked 37, holds a form index of 37.83 and an Elo rating of 1520.03. With a cumulative fatigue of 80 minutes, he has shown resilience on grass, evidenced by his recent victory against Aleksandar Kovacevic. Thompson's surface strength index is 14.92, while his mean serve index is notably high at 97.82. He also boasts a mean return index of 87.22, contributing to his competitive edge. On the other hand, Gabriel Diallo, ranked 55, exhibits a slightly better form index of 51.56 and a lower Elo rating of 1036.72. His fatigue level is higher at 92 minutes, which could impact his performance. Diallo’s surface strength index is relatively low at 5.53, but his mean serve index of 96.09 is competitive. Notably, both players have similar mean return indices, with Diallo at 87.01. Recent performances show Diallo winning his last match convincingly against Aleksandar Vukic, while he struggled in his prior Roland Garros matches but demonstrated potential with a solid win before.

Final Prediction

Gabriel Diallo’s slight edge as the predicted winner stems from his recent form and the momentum gained from his last match victory. A key factor to observe will be how each player's fatigue levels affect their performance on grass, particularly for Diallo, who will need to manage his stamina to capitalize on his recent success.

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